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La Liga

Referee: David Fernandez Borbalan

Ath Madrid

U U S U S

0–0

Full-time

Real Madrid

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

2,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,3

2,8

Scored

1,0

2,2

Conceded

0,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,5

This season — La Liga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 60%

55%

64%

Points per game

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

27%

73%

Both score Ø 50%

45%

55%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

0,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

34% Possession 66%

7 Shots 14

1 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 8

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

7 Corners 9

21 Free kicks against 6

6 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 4. · Real Madrid 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	12	11	1	0	+29	34
2	Valencia	11	8	3	0	+19	27
3	Real Madrid	11	7	2	2	+13	23
4	Ath Madrid	11	6	5	0	+10	23
5	Sevilla	12	7	1	4	+2	22
6	Villarreal	11	6	2	3	+7	20
7	Sociedad	12	5	3	4	+3	18
8	Betis	11	5	2	4	+1	17
9	Leganes	12	5	2	5	-2	17
10	Getafe	12	4	4	4	+5	16
11	Girona	12	4	4	4	-3	16
12	Celta	12	4	2	6	+4	14
13	Espanol	11	3	4	4	-4	13
14	Levante	11	2	6	3	-3	12
15	Ath Bilbao	11	3	2	6	-4	11
16	La Coruna	11	3	2	6	-7	11
17	Eibar	11	2	2	7	-19	8
18	Alaves	12	2	0	10	-14	6
19	Las Palmas	11	2	0	9	-20	6
20	Malaga	11	1	1	9	-17	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	6	0	0	+18	18
2	Valencia	6	5	1	0	+14	16
3	Sevilla	6	5	1	0	+8	16
4	Villarreal	5	4	1	0	+11	13
5	Betis	6	4	1	1	+5	13
6	Real Madrid	6	3	2	1	+7	11
7	Espanol	5	3	1	1	+4	10
8	Getafe	6	3	0	3	+5	9
9	Levante	7	2	3	2	+1	9
10	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+3	8
11	Sociedad	6	2	2	2	+2	8
12	Celta	6	2	2	2	+1	8
13	Leganes	6	2	2	2	-2	8
14	Girona	7	2	2	3	-3	8
15	Ath Bilbao	5	2	1	2	+0	7
16	La Coruna	6	2	0	4	-5	6
17	Eibar	5	1	2	2	-4	5
18	Malaga	5	1	1	3	-4	4
19	Alaves	6	1	0	5	-8	3
20	Las Palmas	5	1	0	4	-10	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	5	1	0	+11	16
2	Ath Madrid	7	4	3	0	+7	15
3	Real Madrid	5	4	0	1	+6	12
4	Valencia	5	3	2	0	+5	11
5	Sociedad	6	3	1	2	+1	10
6	Leganes	6	3	0	3	+0	9
7	Girona	5	2	2	1	+0	8
8	Getafe	6	1	4	1	+0	7
9	Villarreal	6	2	1	3	-4	7
10	Celta	6	2	0	4	+3	6
11	Sevilla	6	2	0	4	-6	6
12	La Coruna	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Ath Bilbao	6	1	1	4	-4	4
14	Betis	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Levante	4	0	3	1	-4	3
16	Alaves	6	1	0	5	-6	3
17	Espanol	6	0	3	3	-8	3
18	Las Palmas	6	1	0	5	-10	3
19	Eibar	6	1	0	5	-15	3
20	Malaga	6	0	0	6	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.