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Ligue 1
Referee: R Buquet
Angers
U S T U U
1–2
Full-time
Lyon
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 40%
30%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 40%
50%
30%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

31% Possession 69%
14 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 0
1 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 10. · Lyon 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 10 10 0 0 +31 30
2 Lille 10 7 1 2 +11 22
3 Montpellier 10 5 4 1 +7 19
4 Marseille 10 6 1 3 +6 19
5 Lyon 10 5 2 3 +4 17
6 St Etienne 11 4 5 2 -1 17
7 Strasbourg 10 4 3 3 +4 15
8 Bordeaux 10 4 2 4 +0 14
9 Toulouse 10 3 4 3 -6 13
10 Angers 10 3 3 4 -1 12
11 Rennes 10 3 3 4 -2 12
12 Caen 10 2 5 3 -3 11
13 Nimes 11 2 5 4 -5 11
14 Reims 10 2 5 3 -5 11
15 Nice 10 3 2 5 -7 11
16 Dijon 10 3 1 6 -5 10
17 Amiens 10 3 1 6 -7 10
18 Nantes 10 2 3 5 -4 9
19 Monaco 10 1 3 6 -5 6
20 Guingamp 10 1 3 6 -12 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Lyon
13′
🟨 Marcelo
Ismaël Traoré 🟥
34′
M. Pavlović 🔁
↦ F. Tait
36′
Mateo Pavlović 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–0
55′
🔁 M. Depay
↦ J. Ferri
57′
🟨 Tanguy Ndombélé
63′
H. Aouar 0–1
M. Depay
A. Fulgini 🔁
↦ P. Capelle
64′
73′
🟨 Fernando Marçal
Cristian López 🔁
↦ S. Bahoken
78′
81′
🟨 Bertrand Traoré
82′
🔁 M. Terrier
↦ B. Traoré
Cristian López 🟨
85′
87′
M. Depay 0–2
M. Dembélé
1–2 Cristian López
C. N'Doye
88′
90′
🟨 Rafael
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Angers

4-1-4-1
16 L. Butelle G
24 R. Thomas D
8 I. Traoré D
29 V. Manceau D
25 A. Bamba D
15 P. Capelle M
17 C. N'Doye M
20 F. Tait M
18 B. Santamaría M
22 J. Reine-Adélaïde M
19 S. Bahoken F
Bench (7)
4 M. Pavlović
10 A. Fulgini
9 Cristian López
1 Z. Boucher
3 Y. Andreu
5 T. Mangani
28 F. El Melali

Coach: S. Moulin

Lyon

4-3-3
1 Anthony Lopes G
6 Marcelo D
4 Rafael D
20 Fernando Marçal D
5 J. Denayer D
12 J. Ferri M
28 T. NDombèlé M
29 L. Tousart M
8 H. Aouar M
10 B. Traoré F
9 M. Dembélé F
Bench (7)
11 M. Depay
7 M. Terrier
15 J. Morel
22 F. Mendy
23 K. Tete
24 Pape Diop
30 M. Gorgelin

Coach: B. Génésio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Buquet · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.