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Serie A

Referee: Michael Fabbri

Torino

T U S S U

1–1

Full-time

Fiorentina

S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Fiorentina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

This season — Serie A · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 39%

33%

44%

Points per game

1,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

44%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

56%

44%

Average goals

2,4

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%

21 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 5

8 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 22

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Torino 9. · Fiorentina 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	10	9	1	0	+14	28
2	Napoli	9	7	0	2	+8	21
3	Inter	9	6	1	2	+7	19
4	Lazio	9	6	0	3	+4	18
5	Sampdoria	9	4	3	2	+8	15
6	Fiorentina	9	4	2	3	+8	14
7	Roma	9	4	2	3	+4	14
8	Sassuolo	9	4	2	3	+1	14
9	Torino	9	3	4	2	+0	13
10	Genoa	8	4	1	3	-2	13
11	Parma	10	4	1	5	-4	13
12	Atalanta	10	3	3	4	+5	12
13	Milan	8	3	3	2	+4	12
14	Spal	9	4	0	5	-2	12
15	Cagliari	9	2	4	3	-3	10
16	Udinese	9	2	2	5	-5	8
17	Bologna	9	2	2	5	-6	8
18	Empoli	10	1	3	6	-6	6
19	Chievo	9	0	2	7	-17	2
20	Frosinone	9	0	2	7	-18	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	5	4	1	0	+11	13
2	Juventus	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Napoli	4	4	0	0	+7	12
4	Inter	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Lazio	4	3	0	1	+4	9
6	Sassuolo	4	3	0	1	+2	9
7	Genoa	4	3	0	1	+2	9
8	Roma	5	2	2	1	+4	8
9	Sampdoria	5	2	2	1	+3	8
10	Atalanta	5	2	1	2	+5	7
11	Milan	3	2	1	0	+3	7
12	Parma	5	2	1	2	+0	7
13	Bologna	5	2	1	2	-1	7
14	Cagliari	4	1	3	0	+2	6
15	Spal	4	2	0	2	+0	6
16	Torino	4	2	0	2	-1	6
17	Empoli	5	1	1	3	-2	4
18	Udinese	5	1	1	3	-5	4
19	Frosinone	5	0	2	3	-8	2
20	Chievo	5	0	1	4	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	5	5	0	0	+7	15
2	Inter	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Napoli	5	3	0	2	+1	9
4	Lazio	5	3	0	2	+0	9
5	Sampdoria	4	2	1	1	+5	7
6	Torino	5	1	4	0	+1	7
7	Roma	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Spal	5	2	0	3	-2	6
9	Parma	5	2	0	3	-4	6
10	Milan	5	1	2	2	+1	5
11	Atalanta	5	1	2	2	+0	5
12	Sassuolo	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Udinese	4	1	1	2	+0	4
14	Genoa	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Cagliari	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Empoli	5	0	2	3	-4	2
17	Fiorentina	4	0	1	3	-3	1
18	Bologna	4	0	1	3	-5	1
19	Chievo	4	0	1	3	-9	1
20	Frosinone	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.