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Serie A
Referee: Maurizio Mariani
Sassuolo
S S
2–2
Full-time
Atalanta
T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Atalanta
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

60% Possession 40%
10 Shots 9
9 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
5 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sassuolo 4. · Atalanta 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Chievo 3 2 1 0 +6 7
2 Torino 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Roma 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Sassuolo 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Inter 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Palermo 2 2 0 0 +2 6
7 Fiorentina 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Sampdoria 2 1 1 0 +3 4
9 Atalanta 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 Genoa 3 1 0 2 +0 3
11 Udinese 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Milan 2 1 0 1 -1 3
13 Lazio 2 1 0 1 -3 3
14 Verona 3 0 2 1 -2 2
15 Napoli 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Juventus 3 0 1 2 -2 1
17 Bologna 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 Empoli 2 0 0 2 -3 0
19 Carpi 2 0 0 2 -4 0
20 Frosinone 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sassuolo Atalanta
6′
🟨 Nicolò Cherubin
13′
⚽ M. Pinilla 0–1
A. Gómez
19′
🟨 Gabriel Paletta
1–1 F. Magnanelli ⚽
A. Floro Flores
22′
23′
🟨 Gianpaolo Bellini
Alfred Duncan 🟨
26′
33′
⚽ M. Pinilla 1–2
38′
🟨 Mauricio Pinilla
2–2 A. Floro Flores ⚽
A. Duncan
40′
Half-time 2–2
48′
🟨 Mauricio Pinilla
48′
🟥 Mauricio Pinilla
56′
🔁 C. Raimondi
↦ J. Kurtič
Nicola Sansone 🟨
61′
M. Politano 🔁
↦ N. Sansone
63′
S. Floccari 🔁
↦ G. Defrel
65′
70′
🔁 G. Monachello
↦ A. Gómez
D. Falcinelli 🔁
↦ A. Floro Flores
78′
80′
🔁 Rafael Tolói
↦ G. Bellini
Šime Vrsaljko 🟨
83′
Šime Vrsaljko 🟨
84′
Šime Vrsaljko 🟥
84′
Simone Missiroli 🟨
89′
90′
🟨 Rafael Tolói
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Sassuolo

47 A. Consigli G
28 P. Cannavaro D
13 F. Peluso D
11 Š. Vrsaljko D
15 F. Acerbi D
7 S. Missiroli M
4 F. Magnanelli M
32 A. Duncan M
83 A. Floro Flores F
17 N. Sansone F
92 G. Defrel F
Bench (12)
16 M. Politano
99 S. Floccari
9 D. Falcinelli
1 A. Pomini
6 L. Pellegrini
8 D. Biondini
10 K. Laribi
20 L. Ariaudo
21 L. Fontanesi
23 M. Gazzola
26 E. Terranova
79 G. Pegolo

Atalanta

57 M. Sportiello G
93 B. Dramé D
29 G. Paletta D
6 G. Bellini D
33 N. Cherubin D
10 A. Gómez F
11 M. Moralez M
17 C. Carmona M
15 M. de Roon M
27 J. Kurtič M
51 M. Pinilla F
Bench (12)
77 C. Raimondi
45 G. Monachello
3 Rafael Tolói
1 B. Radunović
2 G. Stendardo
5 A. Masiello
7 M. D'Alessandro
8 G. Migliaccio
19 G. Denis
21 L. Cigarini
30 D. Bassi
88 A. Grassi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Maurizio Mariani · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.