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Serie A
Referee: Luca Banti
Empoli
T T
2–2
Full-time
Napoli
T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Napoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
2,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,5
This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
2,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

41% Possession 59%
16 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 5
3 Offside 4
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Empoli 18. · Napoli 15. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Chievo 3 2 1 0 +6 7
2 Torino 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Roma 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Sassuolo 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Inter 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Palermo 2 2 0 0 +2 6
7 Fiorentina 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Sampdoria 2 1 1 0 +3 4
9 Atalanta 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 Genoa 3 1 0 2 +0 3
11 Udinese 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Milan 2 1 0 1 -1 3
13 Lazio 2 1 0 1 -3 3
14 Verona 3 0 2 1 -2 2
15 Napoli 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Juventus 3 0 1 2 -2 1
17 Bologna 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 Empoli 2 0 0 2 -3 0
19 Carpi 2 0 0 2 -4 0
20 Frosinone 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Empoli Napoli
1–0 R. Saponara ⚽
P. Zielinski
3′
7′
⚽ L. Insigne 1–1
M. Gabbiadini
2–1 M. Pucciarelli ⚽
R. Saponara
18′
40′
🟨 Allan
Daniele Croce 🟨
45′
Half-time 2–2
50′
⚽ Allan 2–2
M. Gabbiadini
58′
🟨 Mirko Valdifiori
59′
🔁 Jorginho
↦ M. Valdifiori
65′
🔁 D. Mertens
↦ M. Gabbiadini
M. Livaja 🔁
↦ M. Maccarone
68′
Marko Livaja 🟨
71′
L. Paredes 🔁
↦ P. Zielinski
72′
72′
🔁 José Callejón
↦ L. Insigne
79′
🟨 Jorginho
V. Laurini 🔁
↦ M. Zambelli
80′
87′
🟨 Elseid Hysaj
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Empoli

28 L. Skorupski G
3 M. Zambelli D
21 Mário Rui D
26 L. Tonelli D
19 F. Barba D
11 D. Croce M
5 R. Saponara M
17 P. Zielinski M
14 A. El Hadji M
7 M. Maccarone F
20 M. Pucciarelli F
Bench (12)
39 M. Livaja
32 L. Paredes
2 V. Laurini
1 M. Pugliesi
6 L. Bittante
12 Ronaldo
13 R. Maiello
15 A. Costa
22 A. Piu
23 A. Pelagotti
31 M. Camporese
33 R. Krunić

Napoli

25 Pepe Reina G
33 Albiol D
21 V. Chiricheş D
2 E. Hysaj D
11 C. Maggio D
17 M. Hamšík M
6 M. Valdifiori M
5 Allan M
9 G. Higuaín F
24 L. Insigne F
23 M. Gabbiadini F
Bench (12)
8 Jorginho
14 D. Mertens
7 José Callejón
1 Rafael
3 I. Strinić
4 Henrique
19 David López
20 J. Dezi
22 Gabriel
26 K. Koulibaly
31 F. Ghoulam
77 O. El Kaddouri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Luca Banti · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.