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Bundesliga
Referee: Daniel Siebert
Werder Bremen
T S U S T
1–2
Full-time
Augsburg
S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,8
1,8
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
6,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
6,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-6,0
-2,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
10 Shots 18
1 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
0 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 28
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Werder Bremen 18. · Augsburg 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 2 2 0 0 +8 6
2 Hertha 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Wolfsburg 2 1 1 0 +2 4
4 FC Koln 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 RB Leipzig 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Freiburg 2 1 0 1 +1 3
7 Leverkusen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
8 Dortmund 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 Ein Frankfurt 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 M'gladbach 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Darmstadt 2 1 0 1 -1 3
12 Hoffenheim 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Hamburg 2 0 1 1 -2 1
14 FC Ingolstadt 04 2 0 1 1 -2 1
15 Mainz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Augsburg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Schalke 04 2 0 0 2 -3 0
18 Werder Bremen 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Werder Bremen Augsburg
Clemens Fritz 🟨
10′
15′
🟨 Konstantinos Stafylidis
Theodor Gebre Selassie 🟨
25′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Dong-Won Ji
↦ R. Bobadilla
1–0 A. Jóhannsson
47′
52′
J. Gouweleeuw 1–1
D. Baier
56′
🟨 Jeffrey Gouweleeuw
I. Hajrović 🔁
↦ A. Jóhannsson
69′
73′
K. Stafylidis 1–2
L. Thy 🔁
↦ R. Bauer
79′
79′
🔁 G. Kačar
↦ Ja-Cheol Koo
T. Petsos 🔁
↦ F. Grillitsch
82′
87′
🟨 Caiuby
93′
🔁 C. Janker
↦ D. Baier
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

4-2-3-1
42 F. Wiedwald G
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
26 L. Sané D
3 L. Caldirola D
4 R. Bauer D
8 C. Fritz M
16 Z. Junuzović M
22 F. Bartels F
27 F. Grillitsch M
29 S. Gnabry M
9 A. Jóhannsson F
Bench (7)
15 I. Hajrović
11 L. Thy
25 T. Petsos
5 S. Yatabaré
20 U. Garcia
21 F. Diagne
33 J. Drobný

Coach: V. Skripnik

Augsburg

4-2-3-1
35 M. Hitz G
2 P. Verhaegh D
36 M. Hinteregger D
3 K. Stafylidis D
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
10 D. Baier M
30 Caiuby M
19 Ja-Cheol Koo M
21 D. Kohr M
25 R. Bobadilla F
27 A. Finnbogason F
Bench (7)
22 Dong-Won Ji
20 G. Kačar
16 C. Janker
1 A. Luthe
7 Halil Altıntop
8 M. Feulner
11 J. Schmid

Coach: D. Schuster

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Daniel Siebert · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.