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Ligue 1
Referee: Amaury Delerue
Rennes
T T T S U
2–0
Full-time
Caen
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Caen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
5 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 8
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rennes 14. · Caen 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Monaco 4 3 1 0 +6 10
2 Metz 4 3 0 1 +3 9
3 Bordeaux 4 3 0 1 +1 9
4 Guingamp 4 2 2 0 +3 8
5 Paris SG 4 2 1 1 +2 7
6 Nice 3 2 1 0 +2 7
7 Lyon 4 2 0 2 +1 6
8 Caen 3 2 0 1 +1 6
9 Bastia 4 2 0 2 +1 6
10 Toulouse 4 1 2 1 +2 5
11 St Etienne 4 1 2 1 +1 5
12 Montpellier 4 1 2 1 -1 5
13 Marseille 3 1 1 1 +1 4
14 Rennes 3 1 1 1 +1 4
15 Lille 4 1 1 2 -3 4
16 Dijon 4 1 0 3 -2 3
17 Angers 4 1 0 3 -2 3
18 Nantes 4 1 0 3 -4 3
19 Nancy 4 1 0 3 -5 3
20 Lorient 4 0 0 4 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes Caen
Gélson Fernandes 🟨
23′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 W. Saïd
R. Danzé
47′
Yoann Gourcuff 🟨
59′
60′
🔁 H. Bazile
↦ Y. Karamoh
Pedro Henrique 🔁
↦ W. Saïd
64′
70′
🔁 P. Sané
↦ S. Malbranque
P. Ntep 🔁
↦ G. Sio
81′
85′
🟨 Romain Genevois
S. Prcić 🔁
↦ Y. Gourcuff
88′
2–0 S. Prcić
P. Ntep
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Rennes

4-4-1-1
1 B. Costil
24 L. Baal D
29 R. Danzé D
4 Mexer D
5 Pedro Mendes D
15 R. Bensebaini D
28 Y. Gourcuff M
6 G. Fernandes M
21 B. André M
13 G. Sio F
11 W. Saïd F
Bench (7)
18 Pedro Henrique
7 P. Ntep
26 S. Prcić
2 M. Zeffane
9 K. Erasmus
16 P. Nardi
31 A. Diakhaby

Coach: C. Gourcuff

Caen

4-1-4-1
1 R. Vercoutre G
28 D. Da Silva D
29 R. Genevois D
13 S. Ben Youssef D
10 S. Malbranque M
2 N. Seube M
11 V. Bessat D
25 J. Féret M
12 R. Rodelin F
26 I. Santini F
7 Y. Karamoh F
Bench (7)
20 H. Bazile
22 P. Sané
5 A. Yahia
17 J. Makengo
18 J. Adéoti
19 J. Leborgne
40 M. Dreyer

Coach: P. Garande

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Amaury Delerue · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.