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Ligue 1

Referee: Frank Schneider

Nice

S S S S U

3–2

Full-time

Marseille

S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Marseille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,0

1,5

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

0,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,3

1,7

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

64% Possession 36%

18 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 5

9 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 2

1 Offside 4

10 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nice 7. · Marseille 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Metz	4	3	0	1	+3	9
3	Bordeaux	4	3	0	1	+1	9
4	Guingamp	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Rennes	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Paris SG	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Nice	3	2	1	0	+2	7
8	Lyon	4	2	0	2	+1	6
9	Bastia	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Caen	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Toulouse	4	1	2	1	+2	5
12	St Etienne	4	1	2	1	+1	5
13	Montpellier	4	1	2	1	-1	5
14	Marseille	3	1	1	1	+1	4
15	Lille	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Dijon	4	1	0	3	-2	3
17	Angers	4	1	0	3	-2	3
18	Nantes	4	1	0	3	-4	3
19	Nancy	4	1	0	3	-5	3
20	Lorient	4	0	0	4	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rennes	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Metz	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Caen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Bordeaux	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Paris SG	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Monaco	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	St Etienne	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Guingamp	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Montpellier	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Nice	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Dijon	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Angers	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	Lyon	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Bastia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Lille	2	1	0	1	-2	3
18	Nantes	2	0	0	2	-4	0
19	Lorient	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Nancy	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Guingamp	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Lyon	2	1	0	1	+1	3
4	Bastia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Nice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Metz	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Nancy	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Nantes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Bordeaux	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Paris SG	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Toulouse	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	St Etienne	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Lille	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Rennes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Marseille	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Lorient	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Dijon	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Angers	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Caen	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.