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Serie A

Referee: Rosario Abisso

Bologna

U T U S T

2–1

Full-time

Cagliari

T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Cagliari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

17%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

17%

100%

Average goals

1,7

4,0

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,0

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,0

This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,5

4,0

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

2,5

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

17 Shots 11

10 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 8

9 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Bologna 13. · Cagliari 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Napoli	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Genoa	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Sampdoria	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Roma	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	Pescara	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Torino	2	1	0	1	+3	3
8	Chievo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Lazio	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Milan	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Udinese	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Bologna	2	1	0	1	-3	3
14	Sassuolo	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Inter	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Palermo	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Atalanta	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Crotone	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Empoli	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Torino	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Roma	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Chievo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Pescara	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Inter	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Palermo	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Pescara	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Palermo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Chievo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Milan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Inter	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-4	0
20	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.