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Bundesliga

Referee: Patrick Ittrich

Leverkusen

T S T S U

2–2

Full-time

Wolfsburg

U T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Wolfsburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

This season — Bundesliga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 22%

29%

14%

Points per game

1,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

86%

29%

Both score Ø 64%

71%

57%

Average goals

3,4

2,1

Scored

1,9

0,9

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%

17 Shots 11

10 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

11 Corners 2

2 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leverkusen 13. · Wolfsburg 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	8	6	1	1	+18	19
2	Bayern Munich	8	5	2	1	+14	17
3	RB Leipzig	8	5	1	2	+5	16
4	Hoffenheim	8	4	3	1	+5	15
5	Schalke 04	8	4	1	3	+1	13
6	Ein Frankfurt	8	4	1	3	+1	13
7	Augsburg	8	3	3	2	+3	12
8	Hannover	8	3	3	2	+2	12
9	M'gladbach	7	3	2	2	-2	11
10	Mainz	8	3	1	4	-3	10
11	Stuttgart	8	3	1	4	-4	10
12	Hertha	8	2	3	3	-2	9
13	Leverkusen	7	2	2	3	+2	8
14	Wolfsburg	7	1	4	2	-3	7
15	Hamburg	8	2	1	5	-8	7
16	Freiburg	8	1	4	3	-11	7
17	Werder Bremen	7	0	4	3	-4	4
18	FC Koln	8	0	1	7	-14	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hoffenheim	5	3	2	0	+5	11
2	Bayern Munich	4	3	1	0	+11	10
3	Stuttgart	4	3	1	0	+3	10
4	Dortmund	4	3	0	1	+11	9
5	M'gladbach	4	3	0	1	+3	9
6	Mainz	5	3	0	2	+2	9
7	Hertha	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Leverkusen	3	2	1	0	+7	7
9	RB Leipzig	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	Augsburg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
11	Hannover	4	2	1	1	+2	7
12	Schalke 04	4	2	1	1	+1	7
13	Freiburg	4	1	3	0	+1	6
14	Hamburg	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Ein Frankfurt	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Wolfsburg	4	0	3	1	-3	3
17	Werder Bremen	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	FC Koln	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Ein Frankfurt	5	3	1	1	+2	10
3	RB Leipzig	5	3	0	2	+1	9
4	Bayern Munich	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Schalke 04	4	2	0	2	+0	6
6	Hannover	4	1	2	1	+0	5
7	Augsburg	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Hoffenheim	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Wolfsburg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Werder Bremen	4	0	3	1	-1	3
11	Hamburg	4	1	0	3	-4	3
12	M'gladbach	3	0	2	1	-5	2
13	Hertha	3	0	1	2	-3	1
14	Leverkusen	4	0	1	3	-5	1
15	Mainz	3	0	1	2	-5	1
16	FC Koln	5	0	1	4	-10	1
17	Freiburg	4	0	1	3	-12	1
18	Stuttgart	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.