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La Liga
Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez
Betis
T S S S U
3–6
Full-time
Valencia
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Valencia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,5
Scored
2,3
2,3
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,2
This season — La Liga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 57%
57%
57%
Points per game
1,9
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
71%
57%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
3,6
3,1
Scored
2,0
2,1
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

58% Possession 42%
13 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 9
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 5
5 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 7. · Valencia 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 8 7 1 0 +21 22
2 Real Madrid 8 5 2 1 +8 17
3 Ath Madrid 8 4 4 0 +8 16
4 Sevilla 8 5 1 2 +5 16
5 Valencia 7 4 3 0 +8 15
6 Leganes 8 4 2 2 +4 14
7 Betis 7 4 1 2 +3 13
8 Sociedad 8 4 1 3 +2 13
9 Villarreal 8 4 1 3 +1 13
10 Ath Bilbao 8 3 2 3 +1 11
11 Levante 8 2 4 2 -2 10
12 Espanol 8 2 3 3 -4 9
13 Celta 7 2 2 3 +2 8
14 Getafe 8 2 2 4 +1 8
15 La Coruna 8 2 2 4 -7 8
16 Eibar 8 2 1 5 -14 7
17 Girona 8 1 3 4 -6 6
18 Las Palmas 7 2 0 5 -8 6
19 Alaves 8 1 0 7 -9 3
20 Malaga 8 0 1 7 -14 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Valencia
35′
⚽ G. Kondogbia 0–1
Dani Parejo
Zouhair Feddal 🟨
45′
45′
⚽ Gonçalo Guedes 0–2
Half-time 0–2
46′
🟨 Ezequiel Garay
52′
🟨 Nacho Vidal
59′
🟨 Jeison Murillo
64′
⚽ Rodrigo 0–3
Dani Parejo
Víctor Camarasa 🔁
↦ Fabián Ruiz
67′
Cristian Tello 🔁
↦ J. Narváez
67′
69′
🔁 Santi Mina
↦ Rodrigo
74′
⚽ Santi Mina 0–4
José Gayá
75′
🔁 Andreas Pereira
↦ Carlos Soler
J. Campbell 🔁
↦ Sergio León
77′
78′
🔁 Gabriel Paulista
↦ J. Murillo
1–4 J. Campbell ⚽
79′
2–4 A. Sanabria ⚽
J. Campbell
80′
3–4 Cristian Tello ⚽
84′
87′
🟨 Andreas Pereira
88′
⚽ S. Zaza 3–5
Santi Mina
93′
⚽ Andreas Pereira 3–6
Gonçalo Guedes
Full-time 3–6

Line-ups

Betis

4-3-3
13 Adán G
19 Barragán M
23 A. Mandi D
4 Z. Feddal D
14 R. Durmisi D
17 Joaquín M
18 A. Guardado M
29 J. Narváez M
6 Fabián Ruiz M
7 Sergio León F
9 A. Sanabria F
Bench (7)
8 Víctor Camarasa
20 Cristian Tello
12 J. Campbell
1 Dani Giménez
2 Rafa Navarro
5 Jordi Amat
27 Francis Guerrero

Coach: Quique Setién

Valencia

4-4-2
13 Neto G
24 E. Garay D
4 J. Murillo D
14 José Gayá D
30 Nacho Vidal D
10 Dani Parejo M
16 G. Kondogbia M
7 Gonçalo Guedes M
18 Carlos Soler M
9 S. Zaza F
19 Rodrigo F
Bench (7)
22 Santi Mina
11 Andreas Pereira
5 Gabriel Paulista
1 Jaume Doménech
21 Martín Montoya
26 Toni Lato
31 Nacho Gil

Coach: Marcelino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.