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La Liga
Referee: Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez
Malaga
T T T U T
0–2
Full-time
Leganes
T T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Leganes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
3,2
1,2
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
2,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 22%
0%
43%
Points per game
0,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
43%
14%
Both score Ø 22%
29%
14%
Average goals
2,9
1,1
Scored
0,6
0,7
Conceded
2,3
0,4
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
13 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 2
7 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
21 Free kicks against 21
4 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malaga 20. · Leganes 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 8 7 1 0 +21 22
2 Real Madrid 8 5 2 1 +8 17
3 Ath Madrid 8 4 4 0 +8 16
4 Sevilla 8 5 1 2 +5 16
5 Valencia 7 4 3 0 +8 15
6 Betis 7 4 1 2 +3 13
7 Sociedad 8 4 1 3 +2 13
8 Villarreal 8 4 1 3 +1 13
9 Leganes 7 3 2 2 +2 11
10 Ath Bilbao 8 3 2 3 +1 11
11 Levante 8 2 4 2 -2 10
12 Espanol 8 2 3 3 -4 9
13 Celta 7 2 2 3 +2 8
14 Getafe 8 2 2 4 +1 8
15 La Coruna 8 2 2 4 -7 8
16 Eibar 8 2 1 5 -14 7
17 Girona 8 1 3 4 -6 6
18 Las Palmas 7 2 0 5 -8 6
19 Alaves 8 1 0 7 -9 3
20 Malaga 7 0 1 6 -12 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malaga Leganes
22′
🟨 Joseba Zaldúa
Paul Baysse 🟨
38′
Recio 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
47′
🟨 Dimitrios Siovas
Jony 🔁
↦ J. Añor
56′
56′
Gabriel 0–1
D. Siovas
Javi Ontiveros 🔁
↦ Álex Mula
61′
63′
🔁 C. Beauvue
↦ N. Amrabat
70′
🔁 D. Brašanac
↦ N. El Zhar
78′
A. Szymanowski 0–2
Eraso
80′
🟨 Rubén Pérez
Recio 🟨
81′
Recio 🟥
81′
Roberto Rosales 🟨
84′
E. Cecchini 🔁
↦ P. Baysse
84′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Malaga

4-2-3-1
1 Roberto Jiménez G
22 P. Baysse D
18 R. Rosales D
4 Luis Hernández D
7 Juan Carlos D
14 Recio M
10 J. Añor M
5 E. Rolón M
24 D. Rolan F
16 A. Peñaranda F
28 Álex Mula M
Bench (7)
21 Jony
17 Javi Ontiveros
19 E. Cecchini
8 Adrián
20 Keko
23 Miguel Torres
25 Andrés Prieto

Coach: Míchel

Leganes

4-2-3-1
1 Pichu Cuéllar G
22 D. Siovas D
16 M. Dos Santos D
20 Joseba Zaldúa D
14 Raúl García D
10 N. El Zhar M
21 Rubén Pérez M
17 Eraso M
8 Gabriel M
11 A. Szymanowski M
25 N. Amrabat M
Bench (7)
12 C. Beauvue
24 D. Brašanac
3 Bustinza
6 Gerard Gumbau
7 M. Koné
13 N. Champagne
15 Diego Rico

Coach: Asier Garitano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.