Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Ligue 1

Referee: Antony Gautier

Strasbourg

T T T T U

3–3

Full-time

Marseille

T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Strasbourg Marseille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,8

Scored

0,5

1,8

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 38%

13%

63%

Points per game

0,6

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 44%

38%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,4

Scored

0,8

1,9

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%

19 Shots 22

9 Shots on target 9

4 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Strasbourg 19. · Marseille 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	8	1	0	+23	25
2	Monaco	9	6	1	2	+12	19
3	St Etienne	9	5	2	2	+4	17
4	Nantes	9	5	2	2	+1	17
5	Lyon	9	4	4	1	+5	16
6	Marseille	8	5	1	2	+3	16
7	Bordeaux	9	4	4	1	+2	16
8	Caen	9	5	0	4	+1	15
9	Guingamp	9	4	1	4	-1	13
10	Angers	9	2	6	1	+3	12
11	Montpellier	9	3	3	3	+1	12
12	Troyes	9	3	3	3	+0	12
13	Toulouse	9	3	2	4	-5	11
14	Nice	9	3	1	5	-2	10
15	Rennes	9	1	3	5	-4	6
16	Lille	8	1	3	4	-7	6
17	Amiens	8	2	0	6	-7	6
18	Dijon	9	1	3	5	-8	6
19	Strasbourg	8	1	2	5	-8	5
20	Metz	9	1	0	8	-13	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	5	0	0	+15	15
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	+6	11
3	St Etienne	5	3	2	0	+6	11
4	Monaco	4	3	1	0	+9	10
5	Bordeaux	4	3	1	0	+5	10
6	Guingamp	5	3	1	1	+2	10
7	Toulouse	4	3	0	1	+2	9
8	Caen	5	3	0	2	+0	9
9	Montpellier	5	2	2	1	+2	8
10	Nice	5	2	1	2	+3	7
11	Marseille	4	2	1	1	+3	7
12	Nantes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
13	Troyes	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Lille	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Dijon	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Strasbourg	3	1	0	2	+1	3
17	Angers	4	0	3	1	-1	3
18	Amiens	3	1	0	2	-1	3
19	Rennes	4	0	1	3	-3	1
20	Metz	4	0	0	4	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	3	1	0	+8	10
2	Nantes	5	3	1	1	+0	10
3	Angers	5	2	3	0	+4	9
4	Monaco	5	3	0	2	+3	9
5	Marseille	4	3	0	1	+0	9
6	Troyes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Caen	4	2	0	2	+1	6
8	St Etienne	4	2	0	2	-2	6
9	Bordeaux	5	1	3	1	-3	6
10	Rennes	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	Lyon	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Montpellier	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Guingamp	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Metz	5	1	0	4	-5	3
15	Nice	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	Amiens	5	1	0	4	-6	3
17	Dijon	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Toulouse	5	0	2	3	-7	2
19	Strasbourg	5	0	2	3	-9	2
20	Lille	3	0	1	2	-4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.