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Bundesliga
Referee: Martin Petersen
Augsburg
S U T S S
1–1
Full-time
Hertha
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 36%
43%
29%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
71%
43%
Both score Ø 61%
57%
64%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
15 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
11 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Augsburg 8. · Hertha 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 15 11 2 2 +24 35
2 RB Leipzig 15 8 3 4 +3 27
3 Schalke 04 15 7 5 3 +6 26
4 M'gladbach 15 7 4 4 -2 25
5 Leverkusen 15 6 6 3 +10 24
6 Hoffenheim 15 6 5 4 +5 23
7 Dortmund 15 6 4 5 +12 22
8 Augsburg 14 6 4 4 +5 22
9 Ein Frankfurt 15 6 4 5 +1 22
10 Hannover 15 6 4 5 +0 22
11 Wolfsburg 15 3 9 3 +1 18
12 Hertha 14 4 5 5 -2 17
13 Stuttgart 15 5 2 8 -6 17
14 Mainz 15 4 4 7 -7 16
15 Hamburg 15 4 3 8 -7 15
16 Freiburg 15 3 6 6 -15 15
17 Werder Bremen 15 3 5 7 -6 14
18 FC Koln 15 0 3 12 -22 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Augsburg Hertha
32′
🟨 Mathew Leckie
Caiuby 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
58′
🔁 A. Esswein
↦ M. Leckie
58′
🔁 V. Lazaro
↦ V. Ibišević
Philipp Max 🟨
63′
1–0 Caiuby
74′
J. Schmid 🔁
↦ M. Heller
76′
79′
🔁 S. Kalou
↦ M. Mittelstädt
R. Khedira 🔁
↦ Koo Ja-Cheol
80′
87′
🟨 Karim Rekik
S. Córdova 🔁
↦ A. Finnbogason
88′
91′
S. Kalou 1–1
N. Stark
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Augsburg

4-2-3-1
35 M. Hitz G
36 M. Hinteregger D
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
31 P. Max D
32 R. Framberger D
7 M. Heller M
10 D. Baier M
30 Caiuby M
19 Koo Ja-Cheol M
27 A. Finnbogason F
11 M. Gregoritsch M
Bench (7)
17 J. Schmid
8 R. Khedira
21 S. Córdova
1 A. Luthe
14 J. Morávek
22 Ji Dong-Won
38 K. Danso

Coach: M. Baum

Hertha

4-4-2
22 R. Jarstein G
15 S. Langkamp D
21 M. Plattenhardt D
4 K. Rekik D
5 N. Stark D
17 M. Mittelstädt D
3 P. Skjelbred M
11 M. Leckie M
23 M. Weiser D
19 V. Ibišević F
27 D. Selke F
Bench (7)
7 A. Esswein
20 V. Lazaro
8 S. Kalou
2 P. Pekarík
26 A. Maier
28 F. Lustenberger
33 J. Klinsmann

Coach: P. Dárdai

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Martin Petersen · 29 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.