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Bundesliga

Referee: Robert Kampka

FC Koln

T T T T U

3–4

Full-time

Freiburg

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

0,5

0,7

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,8

This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 7%

14%

Points per game

0,2

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

57%

50%

Both score Ø 40%

36%

43%

Average goals

2,4

Scored

0,4

0,6

Conceded

1,9

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-1,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

34% Possession 66%

6 Shots 25

3 Shots on target 11

1 Blocked shots 5

7 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 9

3 Offside 0

21 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match FC Koln 18. · Freiburg 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	11	2	2	+24	35
2	RB Leipzig	15	8	3	4	+3	27
3	Schalke 04	15	7	5	3	+6	26
4	M'gladbach	15	7	4	4	-2	25
5	Leverkusen	15	6	6	3	+10	24
6	Hoffenheim	14	6	5	3	+7	23
7	Dortmund	15	6	4	5	+12	22
8	Augsburg	14	6	4	4	+5	22
9	Ein Frankfurt	15	6	4	5	+1	22
10	Hannover	14	5	4	5	-2	19
11	Wolfsburg	15	3	9	3	+1	18
12	Hertha	14	4	5	5	-2	17
13	Stuttgart	15	5	2	8	-6	17
14	Mainz	15	4	4	7	-7	16
15	Hamburg	15	4	3	8	-7	15
16	Werder Bremen	15	3	5	7	-6	14
17	Freiburg	14	2	6	6	-16	12
18	FC Koln	14	0	3	11	-21	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	7	6	1	0	+18	19
2	RB Leipzig	7	5	2	0	+8	17
3	Stuttgart	7	5	1	1	+5	16
4	Hoffenheim	8	4	3	1	+7	15
5	Schalke 04	8	4	3	1	+5	15
6	M'gladbach	8	4	2	2	+0	14
7	Leverkusen	7	3	4	0	+8	13
8	Mainz	8	4	1	3	+1	13
9	Hannover	6	3	2	1	+4	11
10	Augsburg	7	3	2	2	+3	11
11	Wolfsburg	8	2	5	1	+2	11
12	Freiburg	8	2	5	1	+1	11
13	Hamburg	8	3	2	3	+0	11
14	Hertha	8	3	2	3	-1	11
15	Dortmund	7	3	1	3	+8	10
16	Ein Frankfurt	7	2	1	4	-2	7
17	Werder Bremen	7	2	1	4	-3	7
18	FC Koln	6	0	1	5	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	8	5	1	2	+6	16
2	Ein Frankfurt	8	4	3	1	+3	15
3	Dortmund	8	3	3	2	+4	12
4	Leverkusen	8	3	2	3	+2	11
5	Augsburg	7	3	2	2	+2	11
6	Schalke 04	7	3	2	2	+1	11
7	M'gladbach	7	3	2	2	-2	11
8	RB Leipzig	8	3	1	4	-5	10
9	Hoffenheim	6	2	2	2	+0	8
10	Hannover	8	2	2	4	-6	8
11	Wolfsburg	7	1	4	2	-1	7
12	Werder Bremen	8	1	4	3	-3	7
13	Hertha	6	1	3	2	-1	6
14	Hamburg	7	1	1	5	-7	4
15	Mainz	7	0	3	4	-8	3
16	FC Koln	8	0	2	6	-12	2
17	Stuttgart	8	0	1	7	-11	1
18	Freiburg	6	0	1	5	-17	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.