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Bundesliga

Referee: Daniel Siebert

Bayern Munich

S S S S T

3–1

Full-time

Schalke 04

T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Schalke 04

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

2,7

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,0

This season — Bundesliga · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 48%

65%

30%

Points per game

2,1

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

75%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

60%

55%

Average goals

3,4

2,7

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

69% Possession 31%

16 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 2

0 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bayern Munich 2. · Schalke 04 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	21	15	5	1	+31	50
2	Bayern Munich	20	13	3	4	+21	42
3	M'gladbach	21	13	3	5	+20	42
4	RB Leipzig	21	11	5	5	+20	38
5	Ein Frankfurt	21	9	6	6	+13	33
6	Leverkusen	21	10	3	8	+5	33
7	Wolfsburg	21	9	5	7	+2	32
8	Hertha	21	8	7	6	+3	31
9	Hoffenheim	21	7	9	5	+9	30
10	Werder Bremen	20	7	6	7	+0	27
11	Mainz	21	7	6	8	-10	27
12	Freiburg	21	5	8	8	-8	23
13	Schalke 04	20	6	4	10	-5	22
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	20	6	4	10	-17	22
15	Augsburg	20	4	6	10	-4	18
16	Stuttgart	20	4	3	13	-27	15
17	Hannover	21	3	5	13	-24	14
18	Nurnberg	21	2	6	13	-29	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	11	9	2	0	+22	29
2	M'gladbach	10	9	0	1	+19	27
3	RB Leipzig	11	7	3	1	+17	24
4	Bayern Munich	9	5	3	1	+8	18
5	Ein Frankfurt	10	5	2	3	+10	17
6	Hertha	10	4	4	2	+2	16
7	Leverkusen	10	5	1	4	+0	16
8	Mainz	11	4	4	3	-2	16
9	Hoffenheim	11	3	5	3	+3	14
10	Freiburg	11	3	5	3	+0	14
11	Werder Bremen	10	3	4	3	-1	13
12	Schalke 04	10	4	0	6	-3	12
13	Wolfsburg	10	3	3	4	-4	12
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	4	0	6	-5	12
15	Stuttgart	10	3	2	5	-10	11
16	Augsburg	10	2	4	4	+1	10
17	Nurnberg	11	2	4	5	-4	10
18	Hannover	11	3	1	7	-9	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	11	8	0	3	+13	24
2	Dortmund	10	6	3	1	+9	21
3	Wolfsburg	11	6	2	3	+6	20
4	Leverkusen	11	5	2	4	+5	17
5	Hoffenheim	10	4	4	2	+6	16
6	Ein Frankfurt	11	4	4	3	+3	16
7	Hertha	11	4	3	4	+1	15
8	M'gladbach	11	4	3	4	+1	15
9	RB Leipzig	10	4	2	4	+3	14
10	Werder Bremen	10	4	2	4	+1	14
11	Mainz	10	3	2	5	-8	11
12	Schalke 04	10	2	4	4	-2	10
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	2	4	4	-12	10
14	Freiburg	10	2	3	5	-8	9
15	Augsburg	10	2	2	6	-5	8
16	Hannover	10	0	4	6	-15	4
17	Stuttgart	10	1	1	8	-17	4
18	Nurnberg	10	0	2	8	-25	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.