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Serie A
Referee: Daniele Orsato
Bologna
T T T
1–0
Full-time
Frosinone
T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Frosinone
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
0,3
0,3
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,7
This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
0,3
0,3
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
12 Shots 20
2 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bologna 19. · Frosinone 20. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 4 4 0 0 +4 12
2 Sampdoria 3 2 1 0 +5 7
3 Chievo 4 2 1 1 +5 7
4 Torino 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Roma 3 2 1 0 +3 7
6 Sassuolo 3 2 1 0 +2 7
7 Palermo 4 2 1 1 +1 7
8 Fiorentina 3 2 0 1 +1 6
9 Milan 4 2 0 2 -1 6
10 Lazio 3 2 0 1 -1 6
11 Atalanta 3 1 1 1 +1 4
12 Empoli 4 1 1 2 -2 4
13 Genoa 3 1 0 2 +0 3
14 Udinese 4 1 0 3 -3 3
15 Napoli 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Verona 3 0 2 1 -2 2
17 Juventus 3 0 1 2 -2 1
18 Carpi 3 0 1 2 -4 1
19 Bologna 3 0 0 3 -4 0
20 Frosinone 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bologna Frosinone
Amadou Diawara 🟨
18′
1–0 A. Mounier ⚽
M. Oikonomou
27′
32′
🟨 Samuele Longo
Half-time 1–0
48′
🟨 Paolo Sammarco
Mattia Destro 🟨
52′
Lorenzo Crisetig 🟨
53′
54′
🔁 D. Ciofani
↦ S. Longo
L. Crisetig 🔁
↦ A. Diawara
55′
59′
🟨 Luca Paganini
61′
🟨 Danilo Soddimo
61′
🔁 D. Soddimo
↦ A. Tonev
Alex Ferrari 🟨
71′
M. Mancosu 🔁
↦ M. Destro
74′
F. Falco 🔁
↦ F. Brienza
79′
80′
🔁 D. Verde
↦ L. Paganini
89′
🟨 Daniel Pavlović
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Bologna

83 A. Mirante G
13 L. Rossettini D
5 E. Pulgar M
2 M. Oikonomou D
25 A. Masina D
24 A. Ferrari D
8 S. Taïder M
21 A. Diawara M
23 F. Brienza F
26 A. Mounier F
10 M. Destro F
Bench (12)
6 L. Crisetig
11 M. Mancosu
7 F. Falco
1 Angelo Da Costa
3 A. Morleo
15 I. M'baye
18 R. Acquafresca
20 D. Maietta
28 D. Gastaldello
32 D. Stojanovic
33 M. Brighi
90 M. Crimi

Frosinone

33 N. Leali G
28 A. Rosi M
24 M. Diakité D
20 D. Pavlovic
6 L. Blanchard D
21 P. Sammarco M
19 A. Tonev M
22 R. Chibsah M
18 F. Dionisi F
17 L. Paganini F
12 S. Longo F
Bench (12)
9 D. Ciofani
10 D. Soddimo
11 D. Verde
1 Massimo Zappino
3 R. Crivello
4 A. Russo
5 M. Gori
7 A. Frara
13 M. Ciofani
23 L. Gomis
30 N. Castillo
69 D. Bertoncini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Daniele Orsato · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.