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Serie A
Referee: Paolo Tagliavento
Chievo
S S U
0–1
Full-time
Inter
S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chievo Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
1,7
Scored
2,7
1,3
Conceded
0,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,0
This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
1,7
Scored
2,7
1,3
Conceded
0,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%
15 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 8
3 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Chievo 2. · Inter 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 3 3 0 0 +3 9
2 Chievo 3 2 1 0 +6 7
3 Sampdoria 3 2 1 0 +5 7
4 Torino 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Roma 3 2 1 0 +3 7
6 Sassuolo 3 2 1 0 +2 7
7 Palermo 4 2 1 1 +1 7
8 Fiorentina 3 2 0 1 +1 6
9 Milan 4 2 0 2 -1 6
10 Lazio 3 2 0 1 -1 6
11 Atalanta 3 1 1 1 +1 4
12 Empoli 4 1 1 2 -2 4
13 Genoa 3 1 0 2 +0 3
14 Udinese 4 1 0 3 -3 3
15 Napoli 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Verona 3 0 2 1 -2 2
17 Juventus 3 0 1 2 -2 1
18 Carpi 3 0 1 2 -4 1
19 Bologna 3 0 0 3 -4 0
20 Frosinone 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Chievo Inter
27′
🟨 Fredy Guarin
Nicola Rigoni 🟨
37′
Riccardo Meggiorini 🟨
40′
42′
⚽ M. Icardi 0–1
Half-time 0–1
R. Inglese 🔁
↦ A. Paloschi
68′
70′
🔁 A. Ranocchia
↦ J. Murillo
P. M'Poku 🔁
↦ V. Birsa
74′
75′
🔁 R. Palacio
↦ S. Jovetić
S. Pepe 🔁
↦ N. Rigoni
81′
85′
🔁 M. Brozović
↦ G. Kondogbia
Paul-José Mpoku 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Chievo

1 A. Bizzarri G
12 B. Cesar D
5 A. Gamberini D
18 M. Gobbi D
21 N. Frey D
23 V. Birsa M
4 N. Rigoni M
56 P. Hetemaj M
19 L. Castro M
43 A. Paloschi F
69 R. Meggiorini F
Bench (12)
45 R. Inglese
40 P. M'Poku
7 S. Pepe
11 F. Mattiello
90 A. Seculin
20 G. Sardo
29 F. Cacciatore
10 A. Christiansen
31 S. Pellissier
6 G. Pinzi
3 D. Dainelli
32 W. Bressan

Inter

1 S. Handanovič G
21 D. Santon D
24 J. Murillo D
12 Alex Telles D
83 Felipe Melo M
44 I. Perišić M
17 G. Medel M
13 F. Guarín M
7 G. Kondogbia M
10 S. Jovetić F
9 M. Icardi F
Bench (12)
23 A. Ranocchia
8 R. Palacio
77 M. Brozović
98 I. Radu
33 D. D'Ambrosio
97 R. Manaj
22 A. Ljajić
30 J. Carrizo
55 Y. Nagatomo
11 J. Biabiany
14 Martín Montoya
27 A. Gnoukouri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Paolo Tagliavento · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
17,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.