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Serie A
Referee: Davide Massa
Roma
U S S
2–2
Full-time
Sassuolo
S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Sassuolo
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

66% Possession 34%
21 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Roma 5. · Sassuolo 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 4 4 0 0 +4 12
2 Sampdoria 3 2 1 0 +5 7
3 Chievo 4 2 1 1 +5 7
4 Torino 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Roma 3 2 1 0 +3 7
6 Sassuolo 3 2 1 0 +2 7
7 Palermo 4 2 1 1 +1 7
8 Fiorentina 3 2 0 1 +1 6
9 Milan 4 2 0 2 -1 6
10 Lazio 3 2 0 1 -1 6
11 Atalanta 3 1 1 1 +1 4
12 Empoli 4 1 1 2 -2 4
13 Genoa 3 1 0 2 +0 3
14 Udinese 4 1 0 3 -3 3
15 Napoli 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Verona 3 0 2 1 -2 2
17 Juventus 3 0 1 2 -2 1
18 Carpi 3 0 1 2 -4 1
19 Bologna 3 0 0 3 -4 0
20 Frosinone 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Roma Sassuolo
22′
⚽ G. Defrel 0–1
M. Politano
1–1 F. Totti ⚽
M. Pjanić
36′
40′
🟨 Matteo Politano
44′
⚽ M. Politano 1–2
A. Floro Flores
Half-time 2–2
2–2 Mohamed Salah ⚽
49′
Iago Falqué 🔁
↦ J. Iturbe
50′
Maicon 🟨
57′
59′
🔁 D. Biondini
↦ A. Duncan
A. Florenzi 🔁
↦ Maicon
64′
64′
🔁 N. Sansone
↦ A. Floro Flores
E. Džeko 🔁
↦ F. Totti
72′
Daniele De Rossi 🟨
73′
81′
🔁 D. Berardi
↦ M. Politano
86′
🟨 Nicola Sansone
88′
🟨 Federico Peluso
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Roma

26 M. De Sanctis G
13 Maicon D
35 V. Torosidis D
44 K. Manolas D
2 A. Rüdiger D
16 D. De Rossi M
4 R. Nainggolan M
15 M. Pjanić M
11 Mohamed Salah F
10 F. Totti F
7 J. Iturbe F
Bench (12)
14 Iago Falqué
24 A. Florenzi
9 E. Džeko
1 B. Lobonț
3 L. Digne
5 Leandro Castan
18 E. Ponce
20 S. Kéita
21 W. Vainqueur
23 N. Gyömbér
27 Y. Gervinho
48 S. Uçan

Sassuolo

47 A. Consigli G
28 P. Cannavaro D
23 M. Gazzola D
13 F. Peluso D
15 F. Acerbi D
7 S. Missiroli M
4 F. Magnanelli M
32 A. Duncan M
16 M. Politano F
83 A. Floro Flores F
92 G. Defrel F
Bench (12)
8 D. Biondini
17 N. Sansone
25 D. Berardi
1 A. Pomini
6 L. Pellegrini
9 D. Falcinelli
10 K. Laribi
20 L. Ariaudo
21 L. Fontanesi
26 E. Terranova
79 G. Pegolo
99 S. Floccari

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Davide Massa · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.