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Serie A
Referee: Piero Giacomelli
Torino
S S U
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Sampdoria
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,7
4,3
Scored
2,3
3,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,7
This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,7
4,3
Scored
2,3
3,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%
19 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Torino 4. · Sampdoria 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 4 4 0 0 +4 12
2 Sampdoria 3 2 1 0 +5 7
3 Chievo 4 2 1 1 +5 7
4 Torino 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Roma 3 2 1 0 +3 7
6 Sassuolo 3 2 1 0 +2 7
7 Palermo 4 2 1 1 +1 7
8 Fiorentina 3 2 0 1 +1 6
9 Milan 4 2 0 2 -1 6
10 Lazio 3 2 0 1 -1 6
11 Atalanta 3 1 1 1 +1 4
12 Empoli 4 1 1 2 -2 4
13 Genoa 3 1 0 2 +0 3
14 Udinese 4 1 0 3 -3 3
15 Napoli 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Verona 3 0 2 1 -2 2
17 Juventus 3 0 1 2 -2 1
18 Carpi 3 0 1 2 -4 1
19 Bologna 3 0 0 3 -4 0
20 Frosinone 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Sampdoria
1–0 F. Quagliarella
Bruno Peres
17′
2–0 F. Quagliarella
A. Belotti
24′
39′
🟨 Vasco Regini
Afriyie Acquah 🟨
45′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 L. Christodoulopoulos
↦ V. Regini
M. López 🔁
↦ A. Belotti
56′
62′
🔁 J. Correa
↦ D. Ivan
Giuseppe Vives 🟨
63′
D. Zappacosta 🔁
↦ Bruno Peres
76′
79′
🟨 Fernando
82′
🔁 Alejandro Rodriguez
↦ R. Soriano
84′
🟨 Lazaros Christodoulopoulos
M. Benassi 🔁
↦ A. Acquah
84′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Torino

1 D. Padelli G
24 E. Moretti D
5 C. Bovo D
3 C. Molinaro D
25 K. Glik D
33 Bruno Peres D
20 G. Vives M
6 A. Acquah M
16 D. Baselli M
27 F. Quagliarella F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (11)
11 M. López
7 D. Zappacosta
15 M. Benassi
4 J. Obi
13 L. Castellazzi
17 J. Martínez
18 P. Jansson
21 G. Silva
22 Amauri
23 S. Prcić
28 S. Ichazo

Sampdoria

2 E. Viviano G
26 M. Silvestre D
4 N. Moisander D
19 V. Regini D
13 Pedro Pereira M
8 É. Barreto M
21 R. Soriano M
7 Fernando M
95 D. Ivan M
23 Eder F
24 L. Muriel F
Bench (11)
18 L. Christodoulopoulos
10 J. Correa
9 Alejandro Rodriguez
1 C. Puggioni
3 D. Mesbah
20 N. Krstičić
57 A. Brignoli
77 C. Carbonero
87 E. Zukanović
92 M. Rocca
99 A. Cassano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Piero Giacomelli · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.