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La Liga
Referee: David Fernandez Borbalan
4–1
Full-time
Levante
T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
1,7
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
1,7
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

69% Possession 31%
21 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 6
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Barcelona 5. · Levante 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 4 3 1 0 +12 10
2 Villarreal 4 3 1 0 +6 10
3 Celta 4 3 1 0 +5 10
4 Ath Madrid 4 3 0 1 +5 9
5 Barcelona 3 3 0 0 +3 9
6 Eibar 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Valencia 4 1 3 0 +1 6
8 Espanol 4 2 0 2 -6 6
9 La Coruna 4 1 2 1 +1 5
10 Sp Gijon 4 1 2 1 +0 5
11 Betis 4 1 2 1 -4 5
12 Ath Bilbao 4 1 0 3 -3 3
13 Getafe 4 1 0 3 -3 3
14 Granada 4 1 0 3 -4 3
15 Las Palmas 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Levante 3 0 2 1 -1 2
17 Sociedad 4 0 2 2 -2 2
18 Malaga 4 0 2 2 -2 2
19 Sevilla 4 0 2 2 -4 2
20 Vallecano 3 0 1 2 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barcelona Levante
45′
🟨 Verza
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Bartra
L. Messi
50′
2–0 Neymar
56′
3–0 L. Messi
61′
Gerard Gumbau 🔁
↦ Busquets
62′
63′
🔁 Víctor Casadesús
↦ N. Ghilas
66′
Víctor Casadesús 3–1
68′
🔁 Deyverson
↦ Roger Martí
80′
🔁 Rubén García
↦ Víctor Camarasa
4–1 L. Messi
Bartra
90′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Barcelona

1 M. ter Stegen G
6 Dani Alves D
21 Adriano Correia D
15 Bartra D
14 J. Mascherano M
4 I. Rakitić M
5 Busquets M
10 L. Messi F
11 Neymar F
19 Sandro Ramírez F
17 Munir F
Bench (7)
28 Gerard Gumbau
8 Iniesta
9 L. Suárez
18 Jordi Alba
20 Sergi Roberto
24 J. Mathieu
25 Jordi Masip

Levante

13 Rubén G
12 Juanfran D
3 Toño M
16 Ángel Trujillo D
24 Z. Feddal D
2 Iván López D
7 Verza M
6 Víctor Camarasa M
8 J. Lerma M
23 N. Ghilas F
14 Roger Martí F
Bench (7)
18 Víctor Casadesús
20 Deyverson
10 Rubén García
11 José Luis Morales
15 N. Karabelas
22 José Mari
25 Diego Mariño

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

David Fernandez Borbalan · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.