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Eredivisie

Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie

Willem II

S T T U U

3–1

Full-time

Heracles

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Heracles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,0

3,2

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 31%

23%

38%

Points per game

0,8

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 85%

85%

Both score Ø 77%

69%

85%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

1,4

1,5

Conceded

2,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

48% Possession 52%

27 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 3

8 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 16

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Willem II 15. · Heracles 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	13	12	0	1	+26	36
2	Ajax	14	9	2	3	+29	29
3	AZ Alkmaar	13	9	1	3	+7	28
4	Zwolle	14	7	5	2	+7	26
5	Feyenoord	13	6	4	3	+9	22
6	Utrecht	12	6	2	4	-2	20
7	Vitesse	11	5	3	3	+8	18
8	Heerenveen	12	5	3	4	-1	18
9	Heracles	13	5	3	5	-3	18
10	Excelsior	13	5	2	6	-3	17
11	Den Haag	13	5	2	6	-4	17
12	Groningen	14	4	3	7	-2	15
13	VVV Venlo	13	3	6	4	-4	15
14	Sparta Rotterdam	13	2	5	6	-11	11
15	Willem II	13	3	2	8	-12	11
16	Twente	14	3	1	10	-9	10
17	NAC Breda	13	2	3	8	-17	9
18	Roda	13	2	1	10	-18	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	6	6	0	0	+12	18
2	Heracles	8	5	2	1	+5	17
3	Zwolle	7	5	1	1	+7	16
4	AZ Alkmaar	7	5	0	2	+3	15
5	Ajax	6	4	0	2	+11	12
6	Groningen	8	3	3	2	+1	12
7	Twente	7	3	1	3	+1	10
8	Utrecht	5	3	1	1	+0	10
9	Feyenoord	6	2	2	2	+1	8
10	Sparta Rotterdam	7	2	2	3	-3	8
11	Den Haag	8	2	2	4	-4	8
12	VVV Venlo	7	1	3	3	-4	6
13	Vitesse	5	1	2	2	+0	5
14	Willem II	6	1	1	4	-3	4
15	Roda	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Excelsior	7	1	1	5	-7	4
17	Heerenveen	6	1	1	4	-8	4
18	NAC Breda	6	1	1	4	-13	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	6	0	1	+14	18
2	Ajax	8	5	2	1	+18	17
3	Feyenoord	7	4	2	1	+8	14
4	Heerenveen	6	4	2	0	+7	14
5	Vitesse	6	4	1	1	+8	13
6	Excelsior	6	4	1	1	+4	13
7	AZ Alkmaar	6	4	1	1	+4	13
8	Zwolle	7	2	4	1	+0	10
9	Utrecht	7	3	1	3	-2	10
10	VVV Venlo	6	2	3	1	+0	9
11	Den Haag	5	3	0	2	+0	9
12	Willem II	7	2	1	4	-9	7
13	NAC Breda	7	1	2	4	-4	5
14	Groningen	6	1	0	5	-3	3
15	Sparta Rotterdam	6	0	3	3	-8	3
16	Roda	8	1	0	7	-14	3
17	Heracles	5	0	1	4	-8	1
18	Twente	7	0	0	7	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.