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Eredivisie

Referee: Bjorn Kuipers

Ajax

S T S S S

3–0

Full-time

Feyenoord

U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Feyenoord

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

3,0

2,0

Conceded

0,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+2,5

+1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 73%

78%

67%

Points per game

2,4

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

67%

56%

Both score Ø 34%

11%

56%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

2,8

2,2

Conceded

0,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

+2,3

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

69% Possession 31%

28 Shots 8

10 Shots on target 2

9 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

13 Corners 6

2 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Ajax 2. · Feyenoord 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	10	10	0	0	+34	30
2	Ajax	9	7	1	1	+21	22
3	Feyenoord	9	6	2	1	+10	20
4	Heracles	10	6	2	2	+4	20
5	VVV Venlo	10	4	3	3	+1	15
6	AZ Alkmaar	9	3	3	3	+3	12
7	Vitesse	9	3	3	3	+0	12
8	Utrecht	9	3	3	3	-2	12
9	Excelsior	10	3	3	4	-5	12
10	Den Haag	10	3	3	4	-7	12
11	Zwolle	10	3	2	5	-5	11
12	Willem II	9	2	4	3	-1	10
13	Heerenveen	9	2	4	3	-2	10
14	For Sittard	10	2	4	4	-3	10
15	De Graafschap	10	3	1	6	-10	10
16	FC Emmen	10	2	3	5	-14	9
17	NAC Breda	10	1	2	7	-13	5
18	Groningen	9	1	1	7	-11	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+22	15
2	Heracles	5	5	0	0	+11	15
3	Feyenoord	5	5	0	0	+10	15
4	Ajax	4	3	1	0	+13	10
5	Utrecht	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	De Graafschap	6	3	0	3	-1	9
7	Excelsior	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	VVV Venlo	4	2	1	1	+4	7
9	Vitesse	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Den Haag	5	2	1	2	-5	7
11	AZ Alkmaar	4	1	3	0	+5	6
12	Willem II	4	1	2	1	+4	5
13	For Sittard	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	NAC Breda	5	1	1	3	-2	4
15	Zwolle	5	1	1	3	-2	4
16	FC Emmen	5	0	3	2	-4	3
17	Heerenveen	5	0	2	3	-8	2
18	Groningen	5	0	1	4	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+12	15
2	Ajax	5	4	0	1	+8	12
3	Heerenveen	4	2	2	0	+6	8
4	VVV Venlo	6	2	2	2	-3	8
5	Zwolle	5	2	1	2	-3	7
6	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	0	3	-2	6
7	FC Emmen	5	2	0	3	-10	6
8	Feyenoord	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Vitesse	5	1	2	2	-1	5
10	For Sittard	5	1	2	2	-2	5
11	Den Haag	5	1	2	2	-2	5
12	Willem II	5	1	2	2	-5	5
13	Heracles	5	1	2	2	-7	5
14	Excelsior	5	1	1	3	-6	4
15	Groningen	4	1	0	3	-6	3
16	Utrecht	4	0	2	2	-5	2
17	De Graafschap	4	0	1	3	-9	1
18	NAC Breda	5	0	1	4	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.