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Eredivisie

Referee: Dennis Higler

Vitesse

S U T S T

2–1

Full-time

For Sittard

S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse For Sittard

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,8

4,5

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 8/9 matches

Win Ø 24%

25%

22%

Points per game

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

38%

67%

Both score Ø 64%

38%

89%

Average goals

2,4

4,0

Scored

1,1

1,9

Conceded

1,3

2,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%

12 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 7

13 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vitesse 15. · For Sittard 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	10	10	0	0	+34	30
2	Ajax	9	7	1	1	+21	22
3	Feyenoord	9	6	2	1	+10	20
4	Heracles	10	6	2	2	+4	20
5	VVV Venlo	10	4	3	3	+1	15
6	AZ Alkmaar	9	3	3	3	+3	12
7	Utrecht	9	3	3	3	-2	12
8	Excelsior	10	3	3	4	-5	12
9	Den Haag	10	3	3	4	-7	12
10	Zwolle	10	3	2	5	-5	11
11	Willem II	9	2	4	3	-1	10
12	Heerenveen	9	2	4	3	-2	10
13	For Sittard	9	2	4	3	-2	10
14	De Graafschap	10	3	1	6	-10	10
15	Vitesse	8	2	3	3	-1	9
16	FC Emmen	10	2	3	5	-14	9
17	NAC Breda	10	1	2	7	-13	5
18	Groningen	9	1	1	7	-11	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+22	15
2	Heracles	5	5	0	0	+11	15
3	Feyenoord	5	5	0	0	+10	15
4	Ajax	4	3	1	0	+13	10
5	Utrecht	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	De Graafschap	6	3	0	3	-1	9
7	Excelsior	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	VVV Venlo	4	2	1	1	+4	7
9	Den Haag	5	2	1	2	-5	7
10	AZ Alkmaar	4	1	3	0	+5	6
11	Willem II	4	1	2	1	+4	5
12	For Sittard	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Vitesse	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	NAC Breda	5	1	1	3	-2	4
15	Zwolle	5	1	1	3	-2	4
16	FC Emmen	5	0	3	2	-4	3
17	Heerenveen	5	0	2	3	-8	2
18	Groningen	5	0	1	4	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+12	15
2	Ajax	5	4	0	1	+8	12
3	Heerenveen	4	2	2	0	+6	8
4	VVV Venlo	6	2	2	2	-3	8
5	Zwolle	5	2	1	2	-3	7
6	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	0	3	-2	6
7	FC Emmen	5	2	0	3	-10	6
8	Feyenoord	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	For Sittard	4	1	2	1	-1	5
10	Vitesse	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	Den Haag	5	1	2	2	-2	5
12	Willem II	5	1	2	2	-5	5
13	Heracles	5	1	2	2	-7	5
14	Excelsior	5	1	1	3	-6	4
15	Groningen	4	1	0	3	-6	3
16	Utrecht	4	0	2	2	-5	2
17	De Graafschap	4	0	1	3	-9	1
18	NAC Breda	5	0	1	4	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.