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Eliteserien
Referee: Trygve Kjensli
Kristiansund
T S T S S
3–2
Full-time
Sandefjord
U U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kristiansund Sandefjord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 25%
38%
12%
Points per game
1,4
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
54%
42%
Both score Ø 62%
62%
62%
Average goals
2,9
2,9
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

40% Possession 60%
9 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kristiansund 7. · Sandefjord 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 26 16 6 4 +23 54
2 Brann 26 15 7 4 +14 52
3 Molde 26 14 5 7 +19 47
4 Haugesund 26 14 5 7 +11 47
5 Ranheim 26 11 6 9 -4 39
6 Odd 26 10 7 9 +6 37
7 Kristiansund 26 10 7 9 +3 37
8 Valerenga 27 10 7 10 -6 37
9 Sarpsborg 08 26 9 6 11 +4 33
10 Tromso 26 10 3 13 -3 33
11 Stromsgodset 27 7 8 12 +0 29
12 Start 26 8 5 13 -16 29
13 Bodo/Glimt 26 6 10 10 -3 28
14 Lillestrom 26 6 9 11 -11 27
15 Stabaek 26 5 9 12 -15 24
16 Sandefjord 26 3 10 13 -22 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kristiansund Sandefjord
Flamur Kastrati 🟨
14′
14′
🟨 Marc Vales
19′
Rufo Herraiz 0–1
Enric Vallès
S. Alexandersson 🔁
↦ F. Kastrati
24′
1–1 S. Sørli
27′
2–1 D. Ulvestad
33′
Half-time 2–1
Dan Peter Ulvestad 🟨
61′
3–1 D. Ulvestad
C. Aasbak
63′
70′
🔁 Pau Morer
↦ W. Kurtović
B. Bye 🔁
↦ T. Gjertsen
77′
80′
🔁 H. Storbæk
↦ M. Ofkir
86′
Rufo Herraiz 3–2
Pau Morer
89′
🔁 G. Gibson
↦ M. Høibråten
J. Rønningen 🔁
↦ S. Sørli
91′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Kristiansund

4-3-3
1 S. McDermott G
5 D. Ulvestad D
3 C. Aasbak D
4 C. Psyché D
17 A. Coly D
9 L. Kalludra M
22 B. Sørmo D
24 S. Sørli M
21 A. Diop M
11 F. Kastrati F
7 T. Gjertsen M
Bench (7)
20 S. Alexandersson
13 B. Bye
16 J. Rønningen
12 A. Vaikla
15 E. Sivertsen
25 H. Gjesdal
14 J. Isaksen

Coach: C. Michelsen

Sandefjord

4-2-3-1
12 E. Johansen G
17 Marc Vales D
21 S. Ringstad D
13 M. Høibråten D
4 C. Reppesgård
5 Enric Vallès M
7 E. Pálsson M
18 W. Kurtović M
15 P. Engblom F
6 M. Ofkir M
14 Rufo Herraiz F
Bench (7)
10 Pau Morer
9 H. Storbæk
46 G. Gibson
1 J. Storevik
2 L. Grorud
8 E. Mjelde
11 F. Azemi

Coach: Martí Cifuentes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Trygve Kjensli · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.