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La Liga
Referee: Mario Melero Lopez
Eibar
U T T S U
1–0
Full-time
Leganes
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Leganes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 13%
25%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 75%
75%
75%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
14 Shots 4
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 2
2 Offside 7
16 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 15. · Leganes 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 4 4 0 0 +11 12
2 Real Madrid 4 3 1 0 +8 10
3 Alaves 5 3 1 1 +3 10
4 Celta 4 2 1 1 +2 7
5 Espanol 4 2 1 1 +2 7
6 Getafe 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Sociedad 5 2 1 2 +0 7
8 Girona 4 2 1 1 -1 7
9 Ath Bilbao 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Ath Madrid 4 1 2 1 -1 5
11 Betis 4 1 2 1 -2 5
12 Levante 4 1 1 2 +1 4
13 Sevilla 4 1 1 2 +0 4
14 Villarreal 4 1 1 2 -1 4
15 Eibar 4 1 1 2 -2 4
16 Huesca 5 1 1 3 -7 4
17 Valencia 4 0 3 1 -2 3
18 Vallecano 4 1 0 3 -7 3
19 Valladolid 4 0 2 2 -2 2
20 Leganes 4 0 1 3 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Leganes
Gonzalo Escalante 🟨
24′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Kike
52′
57′
🔁 N. El Zhar
↦ Juanfran
63′
🔁 Y. En-Nesyri
↦ Michael Santos
67′
🟨 Gerard Gumbau
F. Orellana 🔁
↦ Pablo Hervías
67′
Joan Jordán 🔁
↦ Kike
73′
76′
🔁 Óscar Rodríguez
↦ D. Rolan
Arbilla 🔁
↦ Cote
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Eibar

4-4-2
1 M. Dmitrović G
4 Ramis D
15 Cote D
12 Paulo Oliveira D
8 P. Diop M
16 P. De Blasis M
18 Pablo Hervías M
5 G. Escalante M
11 Rubén Peña D
17 Kike F
9 Sergi Enrich F
Bench (7)
14 F. Orellana
24 Joan Jordán
23 Arbilla
6 Sergio Álvarez
13 Asier Riesgo
19 Charles
20 Marc Cucurella

Coach: Mendilibar

Leganes

4-4-2
1 Pichu Cuéllar G
22 D. Siovas D
12 A. Nyom D
2 Juanfran D
3 Bustinza D
14 Raúl García D
21 Rubén Pérez M
6 Gerard Gumbau M
20 Michael Santos F
9 G. Carrillo F
4 D. Rolan F
Bench (7)
10 N. El Zhar
26 Y. En-Nesyri
27 Óscar Rodríguez
5 J. Silva
13 Serantes
23 Mikel Vesga
28 Rodri Tarín

Coach: M. Pellegrino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mario Melero Lopez · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.