← Match Finder
Serie A
Referee: Celi Domenico
Crotone
T T T
1–1
Full-time
Palermo
U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Crotone Palermo
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,2
This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
0,7
0,3
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

30% Possession 70%
12 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 7
2 Offside 7
19 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Crotone 20. · Palermo 19. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 4 3 1 0 +7 10
2 Juventus 3 3 0 0 +4 9
3 Roma 3 2 1 0 +5 7
4 Lazio 4 2 1 1 +3 7
5 Chievo 4 2 1 1 +2 7
6 Genoa 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Sampdoria 4 2 0 2 +0 6
8 Milan 4 2 0 2 -1 6
9 Udinese 4 2 0 2 -2 6
10 Bologna 4 2 0 2 -4 6
11 Pescara 4 1 1 2 -1 4
12 Inter 3 1 1 1 -1 4
13 Torino 3 1 0 2 +2 3
14 Fiorentina 2 1 0 1 +0 3
15 Atalanta 3 1 0 2 -1 3
16 Empoli 3 1 0 2 -2 3
17 Sassuolo 3 1 0 2 -4 3
18 Cagliari 3 0 1 2 -3 1
19 Palermo 3 0 1 2 -4 1
20 Crotone 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Crotone Palermo
1–0 M. Trotta ⚽
D. Falcinelli
23′
29′
🔁 E. Goldaniga
↦ S. Rajković
Leonardo Capezzi 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Carlos Embalo
↦ R. Sallai
66′
⚽ I. Nestorovski 1–1
H. Aleesami
M. Sampirisi 🔁
↦ B. Martella
70′
Lorenzo Crisetig 🟨
71′
A. Barberis 🔁
↦ L. Capezzi
74′
A. Stoian 🔁
↦ R. Palladino
80′
81′
🟨 Edoardo Goldaniga
86′
🔁 S. Anđelković
↦ A. Diamanti
88′
🟨 Siniša Anđelković
Claiton 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Crotone

3-4-3
1 A. Cordaz G
3 Claiton D
17 F. Ceccherini D
13 G. Ferrari D
8 L. Crisetig M
87 B. Martella D
28 L. Capezzi M
6 M. Rohdén M
7 R. Palladino F
11 D. Falcinelli F
29 M. Trotta F
Bench (10)
31 M. Sampirisi
18 A. Barberis
12 A. Stoian
95 V. Cojocaru
5 M. Festa
9 A. Nalini
20 A. Salzano
21 G. Cuomo
24 A. Tonev
99 S. Nwankwo

Coach: D. Nicola

Palermo

4-3-3
1 J. Posavec G
5 S. Rajković D
3 A. Rispoli M
12 G. González D
19 H. Aleesami D
14 A. Gazzi M
23 A. Diamanti F
25 Bruno Henrique M
10 O. Hiljemark M
30 I. Nestorovski F
20 R. Sallai M
Bench (12)
6 E. Goldaniga
11 Carlos Embalo
4 S. Anđelković
2 R. Vitiello
15 T. Cionek
18 I. Chochev
22 N. Balogh
24 O. Bouy
28 M. Jajalo
68 A. Fulignati
97 G. Pezzella
98 S. Lo Faso

Coach: R. De Zerbi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Celi Domenico · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
10,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.