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Serie A

Referee: Nicola Rizzoli

Fiorentina

U U S T S

1–0

Full-time

Roma

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Roma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,3

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

4,2

Scored

1,2

3,0

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,8

This season — Serie A · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

4,3

Scored

1,0

3,0

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%

8 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fiorentina 17. · Roma 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Juventus	4	3	0	1	+3	9
3	Roma	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Lazio	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Chievo	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Inter	4	2	1	1	+0	7
7	Genoa	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Sampdoria	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Milan	4	2	0	2	-1	6
10	Sassuolo	4	2	0	2	-2	6
11	Udinese	4	2	0	2	-2	6
12	Bologna	4	2	0	2	-4	6
13	Torino	4	1	1	2	+2	4
14	Cagliari	4	1	1	2	+0	4
15	Pescara	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Empoli	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	+0	3
18	Atalanta	4	1	0	3	-4	3
19	Palermo	4	0	2	2	-4	2
20	Crotone	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Bologna	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Torino	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	Cagliari	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Chievo	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Inter	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Lazio	2	1	0	1	+2	3
11	Udinese	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Milan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Empoli	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Pescara	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Crotone	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Palermo	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	+0	3
4	Pescara	2	1	0	1	+0	3
5	Genoa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Chievo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Juventus	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Milan	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Inter	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Udinese	2	1	0	1	-3	3
12	Palermo	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Empoli	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Torino	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Crotone	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Cagliari	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Atalanta	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Bologna	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.