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Serie A
Referee: Carmine Russo
Inter
S T S T T
1–1
Full-time
Palermo
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Palermo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

68% Possession 32%
22 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 24
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Inter 19. · Palermo 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 2 2 0 0 +2 6
2 Napoli 2 1 1 0 +2 4
3 Roma 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Genoa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Chievo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Bologna 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Sampdoria 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Sassuolo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Lazio 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Milan 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Pescara 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Atalanta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Torino 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Fiorentina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Crotone 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Empoli 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Palermo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Cagliari 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Inter 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Udinese 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Inter Palermo
18′
🟨 Edoardo Goldaniga
39′
🟨 Haitam Aleesami
Half-time 0–1
48′
A. Rispoli 0–1
55′
🔁 R. Sallai
↦ R. Quaison
A. Candreva 🔁
↦ I. Perišić
68′
S. Miangue 🔁
↦ D. Santon
68′
70′
🟨 Alessandro Gazzi
1–1 M. Icardi
A. Candreva
72′
Jeison Murillo 🟨
76′
76′
🔁 N. Balogh
↦ I. Nestorovski
81′
🟨 Roland Sallai
85′
🔁 T. Cionek
↦ S. Anđelković
86′
🟨 Andrea Rispoli
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Inter

4-3-3
1 S. Handanovič G
25 João Miranda D
21 D. Santon D
24 J. Murillo D
33 D. D'Ambrosio D
19 É. Banega M
17 G. Medel M
7 G. Kondogbia M
44 I. Perišić M
23 E. Martins F
9 M. Icardi F
Bench (11)
87 A. Candreva
95 S. Miangue
5 Felipe Melo
8 R. Palacio
11 J. Biabiany
13 A. Ranocchia
27 A. Gnoukouri
30 J. Carrizo
46 T. Berni
77 M. Brozović
94 E. Yao

Coach: F. de Boer

Palermo

3-5-2
1 J. Posavec G
2 R. Vitiello D
3 A. Rispoli M
4 S. Anđelković D
19 H. Aleesami D
6 E. Goldaniga D
14 A. Gazzi M
10 O. Hiljemark M
18 I. Chochev M
21 R. Quaison F
30 I. Nestorovski F
Bench (12)
20 R. Sallai
22 N. Balogh
15 T. Cionek
11 Carlos Embalo
12 G. González
27 A. Bentivegna
28 M. Jajalo
55 L. Marson
68 A. Fulignati
70 S. Giuliano
97 G. Pezzella
24 O. Bouy

Coach: D. Ballardini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Carmine Russo · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.