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Serie A

Referee: Gianluca Rocchi

Napoli

S S S T S

2–1

Full-time

Lazio

U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Lazio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,5

This season — Serie A · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 61%

74%

47%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

63%

42%

Both score Ø 53%

47%

58%

Average goals

2,8

2,6

Scored

1,9

1,5

Conceded

0,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

55% Possession 45%

21 Shots 18

8 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 5

6 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 8

2 Offside 2

6 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Napoli 2. · Lazio 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	19	17	2	0	+27	53
2	Napoli	19	14	2	3	+20	44
3	Inter	20	12	4	4	+17	40
4	Roma	20	9	6	5	+11	33
5	Lazio	19	9	5	5	+7	32
6	Atalanta	20	9	4	7	+17	31
7	Milan	19	8	7	4	+6	31
8	Sampdoria	20	8	6	6	+9	30
9	Parma	20	8	4	8	-5	28
10	Fiorentina	20	6	9	5	+7	27
11	Torino	20	6	9	5	+4	27
12	Sassuolo	20	6	8	6	-2	26
13	Cagliari	20	4	9	7	-8	21
14	Genoa	19	5	5	9	-10	20
15	Udinese	20	4	6	10	-8	18
16	Spal	20	4	6	10	-12	18
17	Empoli	20	4	5	11	-15	17
18	Bologna	20	2	8	10	-14	14
19	Chievo	19	1	8	10	-21	11
20	Frosinone	20	1	7	12	-30	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	10	9	1	0	+14	28
2	Napoli	10	8	2	0	+17	26
3	Inter	10	7	2	1	+13	23
4	Roma	10	6	3	1	+11	21
5	Milan	10	6	2	2	+4	20
6	Fiorentina	10	5	3	2	+9	18
7	Lazio	10	5	3	2	+6	18
8	Sampdoria	9	5	2	2	+7	17
9	Genoa	10	4	4	2	+3	16
10	Cagliari	10	3	6	1	+3	15
11	Atalanta	9	4	2	3	+8	14
12	Sassuolo	10	3	5	2	-2	14
13	Torino	9	4	1	4	+1	13
14	Parma	10	3	4	3	-1	13
15	Empoli	10	4	1	5	-2	13
16	Spal	10	2	5	3	-3	11
17	Udinese	11	3	2	6	-6	11
18	Bologna	9	2	3	4	-4	9
19	Chievo	10	1	4	5	-9	7
20	Frosinone	10	0	5	5	-15	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	9	8	1	0	+13	25
2	Napoli	9	6	0	3	+3	18
3	Atalanta	11	5	2	4	+9	17
4	Inter	10	5	2	3	+4	17
5	Parma	10	5	0	5	-4	15
6	Torino	11	2	8	1	+3	14
7	Lazio	9	4	2	3	+1	14
8	Sampdoria	11	3	4	4	+2	13
9	Sassuolo	10	3	3	4	+0	12
10	Roma	10	3	3	4	+0	12
11	Milan	9	2	5	2	+2	11
12	Fiorentina	10	1	6	3	-2	9
13	Udinese	9	1	4	4	-2	7
14	Spal	10	2	1	7	-9	7
15	Cagliari	10	1	3	6	-11	6
16	Bologna	11	0	5	6	-10	5
17	Frosinone	10	1	2	7	-15	5
18	Chievo	9	0	4	5	-12	4
19	Empoli	10	0	4	6	-13	4
20	Genoa	9	1	1	7	-13	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.