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Ligue 1
Referee: Frank Schneider
Montpellier
S T U S U
2–1
Full-time
Nantes
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Nantes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
33%
25%
Both score Ø 30%
42%
17%
Average goals
2,0
1,9
Scored
0,8
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
10 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 6
3 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Montpellier 17. · Nantes 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 13 11 2 0 +25 35
2 Lyon 12 6 4 2 +9 22
3 St Etienne 12 7 1 4 +3 22
4 Angers 13 6 4 3 +3 22
5 Caen 12 7 0 5 -1 21
6 Rennes 13 5 5 3 +3 20
7 Monaco 12 5 5 2 +1 20
8 Nantes 12 6 1 5 -1 19
9 Nice 12 5 3 4 +9 18
10 Lorient 12 4 5 3 +1 17
11 Guingamp 12 4 4 4 -3 16
12 Marseille 12 4 3 5 +5 15
13 Reims 12 4 3 5 -1 15
14 Bordeaux 12 3 5 4 -4 14
15 Bastia 12 4 1 7 -5 13
16 Lille 12 2 6 4 -1 12
17 Montpellier 12 2 3 7 -6 9
18 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 12 2 3 7 -7 9
19 Toulouse 13 1 6 6 -14 9
20 Troyes 12 0 4 8 -16 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Montpellier Nantes
1–0 J. Roussillon ⚽
M. N'Diaye
12′
Half-time 1–0
M. Deplagne 🔁
↦ M. NDiaye
46′
50′
🟨 Jules Iloki
56′
🟨 Oswaldo Vizcarrondo
63′
⚽ Y. Bammou 1–1
J. Iloki
65′
🟨 Birama Toure
65′
🟨 Lorik Cana
73′
🔁 E. Sala
↦ K. Sigþórsson
M. Yatabaré 🔁
↦ S. Camara
78′
79′
🔁 A. Alegue
↦ J. Iloki
85′
🔁 Adryan
↦ Y. Bammou
J. Deza 🔁
↦ J. Roussillon
86′
2–1 Hilton ⚽
M. Yatabaré
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Montpellier

1 L. Pionnier G
3 D. Congré D
4 Hilton D
24 J. Roussillon D
2 M. N'Diaye D
15 R. Bensebaini D
10 R. Boudebouz M
14 B. Dabo M
8 J. Martin M
19 S. Camara F
29 C. Ninga F
Bench (7)
25 M. Deplagne
9 M. Yatabaré
32 J. Deza
13 E. Skhiri
21 W. Rémy
30 J. Ligali
31 Q. Cornette

Nantes

1 R. Riou
5 L. Cana
4 O. Vizcarrondo D
13 W. Moimbé D
14 Y. Sabaly D
21 J. Audel F
12 Birama Touré M
20 J. Iloki M
9 K. Sigþórsson F
8 A. Thomasson M
10 Y. Bammou M
Bench (7)
22 E. Sala
24 A. Alegue
23 Adryan
15 L. Dubois
18 L. Deaux
26 K. Djidji
30 M. Dupé

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Frank Schneider · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.