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Ligue 1
Referee: Sebastien Moreira
Nice
S S S S S
4–1
Full-time
Nantes
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Nantes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 55%
80%
30%
Points per game
2,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
40%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
0,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

63% Possession 37%
12 Shots 16
7 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 5
12 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nice 1. · Nantes 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nice 10 8 2 0 +13 26
2 Monaco 11 7 2 2 +15 23
3 Paris SG 11 7 2 2 +13 23
4 Guingamp 11 6 2 3 +5 20
5 Toulouse 11 5 3 3 +6 18
6 St Etienne 11 4 5 2 +4 17
7 Rennes 10 5 2 3 +0 17
8 Lyon 11 5 1 5 +3 16
9 Bordeaux 10 4 3 3 +1 15
10 Angers 11 4 2 5 -1 14
11 Marseille 10 3 4 3 +1 13
12 Dijon 11 3 4 4 -1 13
13 Metz 10 4 1 5 -9 13
14 Bastia 11 3 2 6 -2 11
15 Nantes 10 3 2 5 -4 11
16 Montpellier 11 2 5 4 -9 11
17 Lille 11 3 1 7 -7 10
18 Caen 11 3 1 7 -12 10
19 Nancy 11 2 3 6 -6 9
20 Lorient 11 2 1 8 -10 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nice Nantes
1–0 W. Cyprien
9′
2–0 M. Balotelli
J. Seri
27′
31′
🟨 Lucas Lima
38′
🟨 Koffi Djidji
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 E. Kwateng
↦ L. Dubois
47′
E. Sala 2–1
M. Stępiński
53′
🟨 Emiliano Sala
3–1 A. Plea
J. Seri
60′
Wylan Cyprien 🟨
63′
4–1 W. Cyprien
Ricardo Pereira
65′
68′
🔁 A. Kačaniklić
↦ M. Stępiński
V. Eysseric 🔁
↦ M. Balotelli
75′
78′
🔁 V. Rongier
↦ A. Thomasson
V. Koziello 🔁
↦ J. Seri
81′
A. Lusamba 🔁
↦ W. Cyprien
84′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Nice

4-3-3
30 Y. Cardinale G
24 M. Bodmer D
31 Dante D
2 A. Souquet D
21 Ricardo Pereira D
33 M. Sarr D
5 Y. Belhanda M
6 J. Seri M
25 W. Cyprien M
9 M. Balotelli F
14 A. Plea F
Bench (7)
13 V. Eysseric
26 V. Koziello
8 A. Lusamba
22 A. Donis
28 O. Boscagli
34 P. Burner
40 W. Benítez

Coach: L. Favre

Nantes

4-4-2
1 R. Riou
6 Lucas Lima D
26 K. Djidji D
15 L. Dubois D
3 Diego Carlos D
27 G. Gillet M
8 A. Thomasson M
14 A. Harit M
9 E. Sala F
18 M. Stępiński F
10 Y. Bammou M
Bench (7)
25 E. Kwateng
11 A. Kačaniklić
28 V. Rongier
2 F. Aristeguieta
4 O. Vizcarrondo
23 N. Thomsen
30 M. Dupé

Coach: R. Girard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Sebastien Moreira · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
11,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.