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Ligue 1

Referee: Said Ennjimi

Rennes

S T S U S

1–0

Full-time

Metz

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Metz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,2

0,5

Conceded

1,7

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-2,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 45%

50%

40%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

40%

60%

Both score Ø 30%

40%

20%

Average goals

2,4

3,1

Scored

1,2

1,1

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%

10 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rennes 7. · Metz 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	11	9	2	0	+16	29
2	Monaco	11	7	2	2	+15	23
3	Paris SG	11	7	2	2	+13	23
4	Guingamp	11	6	2	3	+5	20
5	Toulouse	11	5	3	3	+6	18
6	St Etienne	11	4	5	2	+4	17
7	Rennes	10	5	2	3	+0	17
8	Lyon	11	5	1	5	+3	16
9	Bordeaux	10	4	3	3	+1	15
10	Angers	11	4	2	5	-1	14
11	Marseille	10	3	4	3	+1	13
12	Dijon	11	3	4	4	-1	13
13	Metz	10	4	1	5	-9	13
14	Bastia	11	3	2	6	-2	11
15	Nantes	11	3	2	6	-7	11
16	Montpellier	11	2	5	4	-9	11
17	Lille	11	3	1	7	-7	10
18	Caen	11	3	1	7	-12	10
19	Nancy	11	2	3	6	-6	9
20	Lorient	11	2	1	8	-10	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	7	6	1	0	+12	19
2	Monaco	5	4	1	0	+10	13
3	Rennes	5	4	1	0	+6	13
4	Guingamp	5	4	1	0	+4	13
5	Toulouse	5	4	0	1	+7	12
6	St Etienne	6	3	3	0	+5	12
7	Paris SG	5	3	2	0	+8	11
8	Dijon	6	3	2	1	+5	11
9	Marseille	5	3	2	0	+4	11
10	Lyon	5	3	0	2	+4	9
11	Lille	6	3	0	3	-2	9
12	Caen	5	3	0	2	-4	9
13	Angers	5	2	2	1	+2	8
14	Montpellier	5	2	2	1	+1	8
15	Bordeaux	5	2	2	1	+1	8
16	Bastia	6	2	2	2	+0	8
17	Lorient	6	2	1	3	-4	7
18	Metz	5	2	0	3	-9	6
19	Nantes	5	1	1	3	-4	4
20	Nancy	6	1	1	4	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	6	4	0	2	+5	12
2	Monaco	6	3	1	2	+5	10
3	Nice	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Guingamp	6	2	1	3	+1	7
5	Bordeaux	5	2	1	2	+0	7
6	Metz	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Lyon	6	2	1	3	-1	7
8	Nantes	6	2	1	3	-3	7
9	Toulouse	6	1	3	2	-1	6
10	Angers	6	2	0	4	-3	6
11	St Etienne	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Nancy	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Rennes	5	1	1	3	-6	4
14	Bastia	5	1	0	4	-2	3
15	Montpellier	6	0	3	3	-10	3
16	Marseille	5	0	2	3	-3	2
17	Dijon	5	0	2	3	-6	2
18	Lille	5	0	1	4	-5	1
19	Caen	6	0	1	5	-8	1
20	Lorient	5	0	0	5	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.