Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Ligue 1

Referee: Francois Letexier

Metz

U T S T T

2–4

Full-time

Nice

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Metz Nice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

0,7

2,2

Conceded

1,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 61%

44%

78%

Points per game

1,4

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

56%

33%

Both score Ø 28%

11%

44%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,8

0,6

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

30% Possession 70%

9 Shots 17

5 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 1

4 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Metz 11. · Nice 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	9	7	2	0	+11	23
2	Monaco	10	7	1	2	+15	22
3	Paris SG	9	6	1	2	+12	19
4	Toulouse	10	5	3	2	+7	18
5	Guingamp	10	5	2	3	+4	17
6	Rennes	10	5	2	3	+0	17
7	St Etienne	10	4	4	2	+4	16
8	Bordeaux	10	4	3	3	+1	15
9	Angers	10	4	2	4	+0	14
10	Lyon	10	4	1	5	+2	13
11	Metz	9	4	1	4	-7	13
12	Marseille	9	3	3	3	+1	12
13	Dijon	10	3	3	4	-1	12
14	Nantes	10	3	2	5	-4	11
15	Bastia	10	3	1	6	-2	10
16	Lille	10	3	1	6	-6	10
17	Montpellier	10	2	4	4	-9	10
18	Caen	10	3	1	6	-10	10
19	Nancy	10	1	3	6	-8	6
20	Lorient	10	2	0	8	-10	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	6	5	1	0	+9	16
2	Monaco	5	4	1	0	+10	13
3	Rennes	5	4	1	0	+6	13
4	Toulouse	4	4	0	0	+8	12
5	Dijon	6	3	2	1	+5	11
6	St Etienne	5	3	2	0	+5	11
7	Marseille	5	3	2	0	+4	11
8	Paris SG	4	3	1	0	+8	10
9	Guingamp	4	3	1	0	+3	10
10	Lyon	5	3	0	2	+4	9
11	Lille	5	3	0	2	-1	9
12	Caen	5	3	0	2	-4	9
13	Angers	5	2	2	1	+2	8
14	Montpellier	5	2	2	1	+1	8
15	Bordeaux	5	2	2	1	+1	8
16	Bastia	5	2	1	2	+0	7
17	Lorient	5	2	0	3	-4	6
18	Metz	4	2	0	2	-7	6
19	Nantes	5	1	1	3	-4	4
20	Nancy	5	0	1	4	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	5	3	0	2	+5	9
2	Paris SG	5	3	0	2	+4	9
3	Nice	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Guingamp	6	2	1	3	+1	7
5	Bordeaux	5	2	1	2	+0	7
6	Nantes	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Metz	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	Toulouse	6	1	3	2	-1	6
9	Angers	5	2	0	3	-2	6
10	St Etienne	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	Nancy	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Lyon	5	1	1	3	-2	4
13	Rennes	5	1	1	3	-6	4
14	Bastia	5	1	0	4	-2	3
15	Montpellier	5	0	2	3	-10	2
16	Marseille	4	0	1	3	-3	1
17	Lille	5	0	1	4	-5	1
18	Caen	5	0	1	4	-6	1
19	Dijon	4	0	1	3	-6	1
20	Lorient	5	0	0	5	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.