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Primeira Liga

Referee: Hugo Miguel

Rio Ave

U S S S S

1–1

Full-time

Benfica

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rio Ave Benfica

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,2

3,3

Scored

1,5

2,8

Conceded

0,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+2,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,0

3,3

Scored

1,7

3,0

Conceded

0,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+2,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

7 Shots 10

1 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 5

3 Offside 7

17 Free kicks against 26

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rio Ave 4. · Benfica 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Porto	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Sp Lisbon	3	3	0	0	+8	9
4	Rio Ave	3	3	0	0	+4	9
5	Feirense	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Sp Braga	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Maritimo	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Estoril	3	2	0	1	+0	6
9	Tondela	4	1	1	2	+1	4
10	Belenenses	4	1	1	2	-5	4
11	Guimaraes	4	1	1	2	-7	4
12	Vitoria Setubal	4	0	3	1	-1	3
13	Portimonense	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Pacos Ferreira	4	0	2	2	-2	2
15	Moreirense	4	0	2	2	-6	2
16	Chaves	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	Aves	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Boavista	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Porto	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Rio Ave	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Maritimo	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Feirense	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Belenenses	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	-4	3
12	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Moreirense	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Tondela	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Chaves	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Aves	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Tondela	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Feirense	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Porto	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Estoril	2	1	0	1	-3	3
9	Aves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Chaves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Moreirense	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	Guimaraes	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Boavista	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Portimonense	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Belenenses	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.