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Premier League

Referee: Michael Oliver

Man United

T U S S S

2–0

Full-time

Leicester

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man United Leicester

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,5

4,0

Scored

1,8

Conceded

0,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,3

This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

4,0

4,5

Scored

4,0

2,5

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+4,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

69% Possession 31%

22 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 4

8 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 3

2 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Man United 3. · Leicester 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Huddersfield	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Man City	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Man United	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	West Brom	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Watford	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Southampton	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Liverpool	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Everton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Swansea	3	1	1	1	-2	4
10	Leicester	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Tottenham	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Chelsea	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Arsenal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Burnley	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Newcastle	3	1	0	2	+0	3
16	Stoke	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Brighton	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Bournemouth	3	0	0	3	-4	0
19	Crystal Palace	3	0	0	3	-6	0
20	West Ham	3	0	0	3	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Southampton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Huddersfield	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Man United	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Newcastle	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Everton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Watford	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Man City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Chelsea	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Tottenham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Brighton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Bournemouth	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-4	0
19	Crystal Palace	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Swansea	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Man United	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Huddersfield	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Watford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Everton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Southampton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Brighton	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Stoke	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Arsenal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	West Ham	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.