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Ligue 1

Referee: Benoît Bastien

Bordeaux

S U T S T

1–0

Full-time

Nantes

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Nantes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,0

Scored

2,0

0,7

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

5,0

1,0

Scored

2,0

0,5

Conceded

3,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

10 Shots 16

7 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 8

1 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bordeaux 17. · Nantes 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Guingamp	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Nice	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Lyon	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Caen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Metz	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Toulouse	2	1	1	0	+3	4
8	Monaco	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Marseille	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Rennes	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Lille	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Montpellier	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	St Etienne	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Dijon	3	1	0	2	+0	3
15	Bastia	3	1	0	2	+0	3
16	Nantes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Bordeaux	2	1	0	1	-2	3
18	Angers	3	0	0	3	-4	0
19	Lorient	3	0	0	3	-6	0
20	Nancy	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Metz	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Caen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Montpellier	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Nice	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Dijon	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Lille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Monaco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Bastia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Nancy	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Guingamp	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Lyon	2	1	0	1	+1	3
3	Bastia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
4	Nice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Lille	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	Rennes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	St Etienne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Marseille	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Caen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Nancy	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Lorient	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Bordeaux	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Angers	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Metz	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.