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Primeira Liga
Referee: Manuel Mota da Silva
Boavista
S T S T T
0–2
Full-time
Portimonense
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Portimonense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,3
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 33%
24%
41%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
29%
53%
Both score Ø 44%
29%
59%
Average goals
1,8
3,1
Scored
0,7
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
13 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Boavista 15. · Portimonense 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 18 15 1 2 +27 46
2 Benfica 18 13 2 3 +21 41
3 Sp Braga 18 12 4 2 +18 40
4 Sp Lisbon 18 12 2 4 +16 38
5 Belenenses 18 7 8 3 +5 29
6 Guimaraes 18 8 4 6 +4 28
7 Moreirense 18 9 1 8 -4 28
8 Portimonense 17 7 3 7 -4 24
9 Santa Clara 18 6 3 9 -2 21
10 Rio Ave 17 5 5 7 -3 20
11 Maritimo 18 6 2 10 -9 20
12 Tondela 18 5 4 9 -4 19
13 Vitoria Setubal 18 5 4 9 -4 19
14 Nacional 18 5 4 9 -14 19
15 Boavista 17 4 4 9 -7 16
16 Aves 18 4 3 11 -12 15
17 Feirense 17 2 7 8 -13 13
18 Chaves 18 3 3 12 -15 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Boavista Portimonense
Matheus Indio 🟨
18′
20′
Wellington Carvalho 0–1
Dener
41′
🟨 Lucas Fernandes
Half-time 0–1
F. Falcone 🔁
↦ André Claro
60′
Samú 🔁
↦ Gonçalo Cardoso
67′
71′
🔁 João Carlos
↦ Bruno Tabata
A. Tahar 🔁
↦ Matheus Índio
73′
78′
Wellington Carvalho 0–2
Lucas Fernandes
80′
🔁 C. Ezeh
↦ Dener
84′
🔁 Paulinho
↦ J. Martínez
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Boavista

4-2-3-1
90 Helton Leite G
20 Edu Machado D
5 Talocha D
27 Neris D
2 Gonçalo Cardoso D
23 Rafael Costa M
42 I. Mandiang M
31 Matheus Índio M
9 Mateus M
18 André Claro F
33 Rafael Lopes F
Bench (7)
28 F. Falcone
88 Samú
21 A. Tahar
1 Rafael Bracalli
3 Raphael Silva
17 Carraça
19 K. Ibrahim

Coach: Jorge Simão

Portimonense

4-3-3
1 Ricardo Ferreira G
26 Ruben Fernandes D
3 Lucas D
4 Jadson D
30 Tormena D
7 Dener M
21 Pedro Sá M
25 Lucas Fernandes M
11 Bruno Tabata M
9 J. Martínez F
27 Wellington Carvalho F
Bench (6)
17 João Carlos
70 C. Ezeh
98 Paulinho
6 E. Hackman
22 Leonardo
83 Jamerson

Coach: António Folha

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Manuel Mota da Silva · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,40 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.