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Serie A
Referee: Michael Fabbri
Spal
U U T U T
1–1
Full-time
Bologna
T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spal Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,2
This season — Serie A · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 16%
21%
11%
Points per game
0,9
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
42%
47%
Both score Ø 40%
37%
42%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
16 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 7
1 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Spal 16. · Bologna 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 19 17 2 0 +27 53
2 Napoli 19 14 2 3 +20 44
3 Inter 20 12 4 4 +17 40
4 Roma 20 9 6 5 +11 33
5 Lazio 19 9 5 5 +7 32
6 Atalanta 20 9 4 7 +17 31
7 Milan 19 8 7 4 +6 31
8 Sampdoria 19 8 5 6 +9 29
9 Parma 20 8 4 8 -5 28
10 Torino 20 6 9 5 +4 27
11 Fiorentina 19 6 8 5 +7 26
12 Sassuolo 20 6 8 6 -2 26
13 Cagliari 19 4 8 7 -8 20
14 Genoa 19 5 5 9 -10 20
15 Udinese 20 4 6 10 -8 18
16 Spal 19 4 5 10 -12 17
17 Empoli 19 4 4 11 -15 16
18 Bologna 19 2 7 10 -14 13
19 Chievo 19 1 8 10 -21 11
20 Frosinone 20 1 7 12 -30 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Spal Bologna
24′
R. Palacio 0–1
R. Orsolini
30′
🟨 Roberto Soriano
Mirko Valdifiori 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 J. Kurtič
M. Lazzari
63′
76′
🟨 Filip Helander
78′
🔁 F. Santander
↦ R. Orsolini
78′
🔁 M. Svanberg
↦ A. Poli
P. Schiattarella 🔁
↦ M. Valdifiori
80′
T. Cionek 🔁
↦ M. Lazzari
84′
A. Paloschi 🔁
↦ A. Petagna
88′
Thiago Cionek 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Erick Pulgar
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Spal

3-5-2
2 E. Viviano G
27 Felipe D
23 F. Vicari D
14 K. Bonifazi D
93 M. Fares D
6 S. Missiroli M
16 M. Valdifiori M
19 J. Kurtič M
29 M. Lazzari M
7 M. Antenucci F
37 A. Petagna F
Bench (12)
28 P. Schiattarella
4 T. Cionek
43 A. Paloschi
1 A. Gomis
5 L. Šimić
8 M. Valoti
10 S. Floccari
11 G. Moncini
17 G. Poluzzi
24 L. Dickmann
33 F. Costa
77 F. Viviani

Coach: L. Semplici

Bologna

4-3-3
28 Ł. Skorupski G
23 Danilo D
18 F. Helander D
35 M. Dijks D
33 A. Calabresi D
16 A. Poli M
21 R. Soriano M
5 E. Pulgar M
24 R. Palacio F
10 N. Sansone F
7 R. Orsolini F
Bench (12)
9 F. Santander
32 M. Svanberg
1 Angelo da Costa
3 G. González
4 S. De Maio
8 Á. Nagy
11 L. Krejčí
14 F. Mattiello
15 I. M'baye
17 G. Donsah
22 M. Destro
30 O. Okwonkwo

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Michael Fabbri · 75 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.