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Pro League
Referee: Alexandre Boucaut
Club Brugge
T T T U S
0–1
Full-time
Charleroi
S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 14/21 matches
Win Ø 50%
57%
43%
Points per game
1,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
71%
62%
Both score Ø 64%
57%
71%
Average goals
3,3
2,9
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%
11 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 6
3 Offside 7
17 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Club Brugge 9. · Charleroi 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 15 10 4 1 +21 34
2 Antwerp 15 11 1 3 +11 34
3 St Truiden 22 8 9 5 +7 33
4 Standard 16 9 5 2 +15 32
5 Charleroi 21 9 3 9 +3 30
6 Gent 14 9 2 3 +15 29
7 Kortrijk 22 7 7 8 -3 28
8 Eupen 22 9 1 12 -13 28
9 Club Brugge 14 8 3 3 +16 27
10 Anderlecht 15 8 3 4 +10 27
11 Cercle Brugge 22 7 5 10 -15 26
12 Oostende 21 6 5 10 -16 23
13 Beveren 22 4 9 9 -7 21
14 Waregem 22 5 5 12 -14 20
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 21 4 5 12 -11 17
16 Lokeren 22 3 5 14 -19 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Club Brugge Charleroi
17′
Gabriele Angella 0–1
Núrio
Benoît Poulain 🟨
21′
Half-time 0–1
Siebe Schrijvers 🔁
↦ Marvelous Nakamba
46′
Krépin Diatta 🔁
↦ Clinton Mata
68′
Sofyan Amrabat 🟨
75′
76′
🔁 Massimo Bruno
↦ Cristian Benavente
77′
🟨 Christophe Diandy
78′
🟨 Núrio
Loïs Openda 🔁
↦ Benoît Poulain
79′
Emmanuel Dennis 🟨
81′
Brandon Mechele 🟨
87′
90′
🔁 Steeven Willems
↦ Núrio
90′
🔁 Jérémy Perbet
↦ Victor Osimhen
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Club Brugge

3-4-3
22 Ethan Horvath G
5 Benoît Poulain D
44 Brandon Mechele D
24 Stefano Denswil D
77 Clinton Mata D
6 Sofyan Amrabat M
18 Marvelous Nakamba M
42 Emmanuel Dennis F
25 Ruud Vormer M
7 Wesley F
20 Hans Vanaken M
Bench (7)
1 Karlo Letica
21 Dion Cools
35 Saulo Decarli
26 Mats Rits
11 Krépin Diatta
80 Loïs Openda
16 Siebe Schrijvers

Coach: I. Leko

Charleroi

3-5-2
1 Nicolas Penneteau G
8 Martos D
33 Gabriele Angella D
24 Dorian Dessoleil D
17 Stergos Marinos D
22 Gaetan Hendrickx M
13 Christophe Diandy M
26 Marco Ilaimaharitra M
25 Núrio D
14 Cristian Benavente M
45 Victor Osimhen F
Bench (8)
69 Rémy Riou
23 Steeven Willems
4 Maxime Busi
6 Gjoko Zajkov
20 Nathan Rodes
77 Massimo Bruno
39 David Henen
10 Jérémy Perbet

Coach: P. Amodio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alexandre Boucaut · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.