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Primeira Liga

Referee: Artur Soares Dias

Aves

U T T T U

2–1

Full-time

Vitoria Setubal

T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aves Vitoria Setubal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,7

Scored

0,8

0,3

Conceded

2,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-1,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 24%

18%

29%

Points per game

0,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

53%

41%

Both score Ø 53%

59%

47%

Average goals

2,9

2,1

Scored

1,1

0,9

Conceded

1,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

16 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 9

0 Offside 3

21 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Aves 17. · Vitoria Setubal 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	18	15	1	2	+27	46
2	Benfica	18	13	2	3	+21	41
3	Sp Braga	18	12	4	2	+18	40
4	Sp Lisbon	18	12	2	4	+16	38
5	Belenenses	18	7	8	3	+5	29
6	Guimaraes	18	8	4	6	+4	28
7	Moreirense	18	9	1	8	-4	28
8	Portimonense	17	7	3	7	-4	24
9	Santa Clara	18	6	3	9	-2	21
10	Rio Ave	17	5	5	7	-3	20
11	Maritimo	18	6	2	10	-9	20
12	Vitoria Setubal	17	5	4	8	-3	19
13	Tondela	18	5	4	9	-4	19
14	Nacional	18	5	4	9	-14	19
15	Boavista	17	4	4	9	-7	16
16	Feirense	17	2	7	8	-13	13
17	Aves	17	3	3	11	-13	12
18	Chaves	18	3	3	12	-15	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	10	9	1	0	+16	28
2	Sp Braga	9	8	1	0	+15	25
3	Porto	9	8	0	1	+17	24
4	Benfica	8	6	1	1	+12	19
5	Portimonense	9	5	3	1	+6	18
6	Guimaraes	9	5	2	2	+4	17
7	Moreirense	8	5	1	2	+3	16
8	Belenenses	9	4	3	2	+3	15
9	Rio Ave	9	4	3	2	+2	15
10	Tondela	9	3	2	4	-1	11
11	Vitoria Setubal	8	3	1	4	+0	10
12	Boavista	8	3	1	4	-1	10
13	Maritimo	8	3	1	4	-3	10
14	Nacional	10	3	1	6	-9	10
15	Aves	9	2	3	4	+0	9
16	Feirense	8	1	5	2	-1	8
17	Chaves	9	2	2	5	-4	8
18	Santa Clara	10	2	1	7	-6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	9	7	1	1	+10	22
2	Benfica	10	7	1	2	+9	22
3	Sp Braga	9	4	3	2	+3	15
4	Santa Clara	8	4	2	2	+4	14
5	Belenenses	9	3	5	1	+2	14
6	Moreirense	10	4	0	6	-7	12
7	Guimaraes	9	3	2	4	+0	11
8	Sp Lisbon	8	3	1	4	+0	10
9	Maritimo	10	3	1	6	-6	10
10	Vitoria Setubal	9	2	3	4	-3	9
11	Nacional	8	2	3	3	-5	9
12	Tondela	9	2	2	5	-3	8
13	Boavista	9	1	3	5	-6	6
14	Portimonense	8	2	0	6	-10	6
15	Rio Ave	8	1	2	5	-5	5
16	Feirense	9	1	2	6	-12	5
17	Chaves	9	1	1	7	-11	4
18	Aves	8	1	0	7	-13	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.