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Eliteserien
Referee: M Lien
Kristiansund
U U T T T
4–0
Full-time
Aalesund
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kristiansund Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
2,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 24%
15%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
63%
56%
Both score Ø 58%
63%
52%
Average goals
3,2
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
2,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

47% Possession 53%
17 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kristiansund 15. · Aalesund 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 27 22 3 2 +41 69
2 Bodo/Glimt 27 16 6 5 +43 54
3 Rosenborg 27 14 8 5 +23 50
4 Lillestrom 27 15 5 7 +16 50
5 Valerenga 28 13 4 11 +4 43
6 Tromso 27 9 11 7 -4 38
7 Odd 27 11 5 11 -8 38
8 Sarpsborg 08 28 11 4 13 +2 37
9 Haugesund 28 10 6 12 -4 36
10 Aalesund 27 9 8 10 -10 35
11 Viking 27 9 7 11 -2 34
12 Stromsgodset 28 9 6 13 -5 33
13 Ham-Kam 27 5 13 9 -8 28
14 Sandefjord 27 6 5 16 -24 23
15 Kristiansund 27 4 6 17 -27 18
16 Jerv 27 5 3 19 -37 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kristiansund Aalesund
Sander Erik Kartum 🟨
28′
38′
🟨 David Fällman
1–0 M. Williamsen
S. Kartum
38′
2–0 B. Willumsson
41′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Nenass
↦ E. Moses
46′
🔁 G. Koomson
↦ K. Ødemarksbakken
46′
🔁 K. Barmen
↦ E. Segberg
2–1 N. Hopland
own goal
57′
69′
🔁 B. Kristensen
↦ S. Nordli
77′
🔁 J. Moe
↦ B. Šerbečić
B. Bye 🔁
↦ F. Moumbagna
80′
A. Coly 🔁
↦ M. Williamsen
81′
3–1 B. Bye
B. Willumsson
83′
P. Chrupałła 🔁
↦ L. Kalludra
89′
D. Agbo 🔁
↦ S. Nilsen
89′
O. Sivertsen 🔁
↦ B. Willumsson
93′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Kristiansund

5-3-2
1 S. McDermott G
5 D. Ulvestad D
6 A. Hopmark M
2 S. Nilsen
26 M. Williamsen D
10 L. Kalludra M
8 S. Kartum M
18 S. Jarl D
7 T. Gjertsen D
17 B. Willumsson F
29 F. Moumbagna F
Bench (9)
13 B. Bye
19 A. Coly
27 P. Chrupałła
24 D. Agbo
37 O. Sivertsen
30 M. Mbaye
4 H. Gjesdal
23 A. Askar
16 S. Kvile

Coach: C. Michelsen

Aalesund

5-3-2
1 S. Grytebust G
5 D. Fällman D
33 S. Rafn D
2 P. Golubović D
25 B. Šerbečić D
18 N. Hopland D
27 D. Čanađija M
15 K. Ødemarksbakken F
6 E. Segberg M
11 S. Nordli M
21 E. Moses F
Bench (9)
7 Nenass
23 G. Koomson
10 K. Barmen
29 B. Kristensen
3 J. Moe
8 F. Haugen
13 M. Lansing
20 O. Solnørdal
14 T. Kallevåg

Coach: L. Nilsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Lien · 97 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.