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2. Bundesliga
Referee: S Waschitzki
Hannover
T T S T U
1–0
Full-time
Karlsruhe
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hannover Karlsruhe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 42%
46%
38%
Points per game
1,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
62%
62%
Both score Ø 54%
62%
46%
Average goals
2,8
3,1
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
18 Shots 17
7 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 1
2 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hannover 6. · Karlsruhe 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 14 8 5 1 +10 29
2 Paderborn 13 8 2 3 +20 26
3 Hamburg 13 8 1 4 +6 25
4 Heidenheim 14 6 6 2 +8 24
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 14 7 2 5 +8 23
6 Hannover 13 6 3 4 +5 21
7 Kaiserslautern 14 4 8 2 +2 20
8 Holstein Kiel 14 5 5 4 -1 20
9 Regensburg 14 5 3 6 -7 18
10 Karlsruhe 13 5 2 6 +2 17
11 Hansa Rostock 14 5 2 7 -6 17
12 Braunschweig 13 4 4 5 -6 16
13 St Pauli 14 3 6 5 -1 15
14 Nurnberg 14 4 3 7 -9 15
15 Magdeburg 14 4 2 8 -11 14
16 Greuther Furth 14 2 7 5 -6 13
17 Sandhausen 13 3 3 7 -6 12
18 Bielefeld 14 3 2 9 -8 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hannover Karlsruhe
19′
🔁 P. Nebel
↦ L. Jensen
27′
🟨 Jérôme Gondorf
Bright Arrey-Mbi ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
42′
43′
🟨 Marcel Franke
Half-time 1–0
1–0 H. Weydandt
D. Köhn
56′
62′
🟨 Jérôme Gondorf
62′
🟥 Jérôme Gondorf
L. Schaub 🔁
↦ M. Beier
70′
70′
🔁 T. Rossmann
↦ Choi Kyoung-Rok
70′
🔁 L. Cueto
↦ F. Schleusener
N. Tresoldi 🔁
↦ H. Weydandt
75′
82′
🔁 S. Rapp
↦ P. Nebel
82′
🔁 F. Ballas
↦ S. Ambrosius
Ron-Robert Zieler 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Hannover

3-4-1-2
1 R. Zieler G
5 P. Neumann D
31 J. Börner D
4 B. Arrey-Mbi D
21 S. Muroya M
6 F. Kunze M
7 M. Besuschkow M
18 D. Köhn M
16 H. Nielsen F
9 H. Weydandt F
14 M. Beier F
Bench (9)
11 L. Schaub
23 N. Tresoldi
10 S. Ernst
20 J. Dehm
37 S. Kerk
30 L. Weinkauf
22 S. Stolze
8 E. Leopold
24 A. Fóti

Coach: S. Leitl

Karlsruhe

4-1-3-2
35 M. Gersbeck G
2 S. Jung D
15 S. Ambrosius D
28 M. Franke D
16 P. Heise D
6 L. Jensen M
8 J. Gondorf M
38 T. Breithaupt M
10 M. Wanitzek M
11 Choi Kyoung-Rok F
24 F. Schleusener F
Bench (9)
26 P. Nebel
31 T. Rossmann
17 L. Cueto
7 S. Rapp
4 F. Ballas
21 M. Thiede
1 K. Eisele
22 C. Kobald
36 K. Arase

Coach: C. Eichner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,49
U
3,37
B
2,73
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,83
U2,5 ✓
1,96
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Waschitzki · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.