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Bundesliga

Referee: H Osmers

Union Berlin

S S S T S

2–1

Full-time

M'gladbach

T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Union Berlin M'gladbach

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

17%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

1,7

4,5

Scored

1,3

2,2

Conceded

0,3

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 50%

64%

36%

Points per game

2,1

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

36%

64%

Both score Ø 55%

45%

64%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,7

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%

14 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 5

4 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 6

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Union Berlin 2. · M'gladbach 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	12	7	4	1	+28	25
2	Union Berlin	11	7	2	2	+11	23
3	Dortmund	12	7	1	4	+5	22
4	Freiburg	11	6	3	2	+3	21
5	Ein Frankfurt	12	6	2	4	+5	20
6	RB Leipzig	12	5	4	3	+4	19
7	Werder Bremen	12	5	3	4	+3	18
8	Mainz	12	5	3	4	-1	18
9	Hoffenheim	11	5	2	4	+5	17
10	M'gladbach	11	4	4	3	+2	16
11	FC Koln	11	4	4	3	-3	16
12	Wolfsburg	12	3	5	4	-2	14
13	Augsburg	12	4	2	6	-6	14
14	Hertha	12	2	5	5	-3	11
15	Stuttgart	12	2	5	5	-6	11
16	Leverkusen	12	2	3	7	-9	9
17	Bochum	12	2	1	9	-21	7
18	Schalke 04	11	1	3	7	-15	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	6	5	1	0	+12	16
2	Bayern Munich	6	4	2	0	+15	14
3	Dortmund	6	4	1	1	+7	13
4	Union Berlin	5	4	1	0	+7	13
5	M'gladbach	6	4	0	2	+6	12
6	Ein Frankfurt	7	3	1	3	+3	10
7	FC Koln	5	3	1	1	+3	10
8	Hoffenheim	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Freiburg	5	3	1	1	+2	10
10	Wolfsburg	6	2	3	1	+3	9
11	Stuttgart	7	2	2	3	+0	8
12	Werder Bremen	6	2	1	3	+1	7
13	Hertha	6	1	4	1	+0	7
14	Bochum	6	2	1	3	-6	7
15	Mainz	5	1	3	1	+2	6
16	Leverkusen	6	1	2	3	-1	5
17	Augsburg	6	1	2	3	-6	5
18	Schalke 04	5	1	1	3	-7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mainz	7	4	0	3	-3	12
2	Bayern Munich	6	3	2	1	+13	11
3	Werder Bremen	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Freiburg	6	3	2	1	+1	11
5	Union Berlin	6	3	1	2	+4	10
6	Ein Frankfurt	5	3	1	1	+2	10
7	Augsburg	6	3	0	3	+0	9
8	Dortmund	6	3	0	3	-2	9
9	Hoffenheim	5	2	1	2	+3	7
10	FC Koln	6	1	3	2	-6	6
11	Wolfsburg	6	1	2	3	-5	5
12	Hertha	6	1	1	4	-3	4
13	M'gladbach	5	0	4	1	-4	4
14	Leverkusen	6	1	1	4	-8	4
15	Stuttgart	5	0	3	2	-6	3
16	RB Leipzig	6	0	3	3	-8	3
17	Schalke 04	6	0	2	4	-8	2
18	Bochum	6	0	0	6	-15	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.