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Pro League
Referee: L Visser
1–1
Full-time
Gent
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 14/12 matches
Win Ø 51%
43%
58%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
64%
58%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,6
Scored
1,6
1,7
Conceded
1,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
12 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 17
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 8. · Gent 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 13 12 1 0 +27 37
2 St. Gilloise 13 11 1 1 +16 34
3 Antwerp 13 11 0 2 +15 33
4 Club Brugge 14 10 1 3 +17 31
5 Anderlecht 15 7 1 7 +9 22
6 Gent 12 7 1 4 +9 22
7 Standard 12 7 0 5 +3 21
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 14 6 3 5 +0 21
9 St Truiden 15 5 5 5 -2 20
10 Cercle Brugge 13 5 4 4 +2 19
11 Charleroi 15 6 1 8 -4 19
12 Westerlo 13 5 2 6 -5 17
13 Mechelen 16 5 2 9 -7 17
14 Kortrijk 16 4 3 9 -12 15
15 Oostende 16 4 3 9 -13 15
16 Waregem 16 4 2 10 -15 14
17 Eupen 16 4 0 12 -18 12
18 Seraing 15 3 2 10 -11 11
19 Seraing United 15 3 2 10 -11 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Gent
-5′
🟨 Jens Petter Hauge
42′
H. Cuypers 0–1
M. Samoise
43′
ℹ️ Matisse Samoise
VAR: Goal confirmed
Half-time 0–1
47′
🟨 Michael Ngadeu
Kristiyan Malinov 🟨
55′
J. Þorsteinsson 🔁
↦ S. Kiyine
62′
71′
🟨 Sven Kums
1–1 Mario González
73′
76′
🔁 S. Marreh
↦ E. Owusu
76′
🔁 I. Salah
↦ Hong Hyun-Seok
76′
🔁 V. Odjidja-Ofoe
↦ A. Hjulsager
76′
🔁 L. Depoitre
↦ H. Cuypers
Mathieu Maertens 🟨
80′
Casper De Norre 🟨
81′
M. Keita 🔁
↦ K. Malinov
85′
N. Nsingi 🔁
↦ Mario González
85′
Mandela Keita 🟨
88′
89′
🟨 Bruno Godeau
Hamza Mendyl 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

4-4-1-1
12 V. Cojocaru G
25 L. Patris D
14 F. Ricca D
15 D. Ouédraogo D
20 H. Mendyl D
11 Mousa Al Tamari M
4 K. Malinov M
24 C. De Norre M
13 S. Kiyine M
33 M. Maertens F
9 Mario González F
Bench (7)
7 J. Þorsteinsson
27 M. Keita
43 N. Nsingi
38 O. Ravet
5 P. Ngawa
77 T. Vlietinck
6 J. Dom

Coach: M. Brys

Gent

3-4-1-2
1 P. Nardi G
2 J. Okumu D
5 M. Ngadeu D
31 B. Godeau D
18 M. Samoise M
6 E. Owusu M
24 S. Kums M
25 Núrio Fortuna M
17 A. Hjulsager F
7 Hong Hyun-Seok F
11 H. Cuypers F
Bench (7)
22 S. Marreh
16 I. Salah
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe
29 L. Depoitre
15 B. Lagae
33 D. Roef
10 J. Hauge

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,58
U ✓
3,67
B
1,95
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,70
U2,5 ✓
2,10
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Visser · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.