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Eliteserien
Referee: K Steen
Tromso
U T S S U
2–2
Full-time
Jerv
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Jerv
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,3
4,0
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 26%
33%
19%
Points per game
1,4
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
56%
63%
Both score Ø 63%
74%
52%
Average goals
3,1
3,2
Scored
1,5
0,9
Conceded
1,6
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
16 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 6. · Jerv 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 27 22 3 2 +41 69
2 Bodo/Glimt 27 16 6 5 +43 54
3 Rosenborg 27 14 8 5 +23 50
4 Lillestrom 27 15 5 7 +16 50
5 Valerenga 28 13 4 11 +4 43
6 Tromso 27 9 11 7 -4 38
7 Odd 27 11 5 11 -8 38
8 Sarpsborg 08 28 11 4 13 +2 37
9 Haugesund 28 10 6 12 -4 36
10 Aalesund 27 9 8 10 -10 35
11 Viking 27 9 7 11 -2 34
12 Stromsgodset 28 9 6 13 -5 33
13 Ham-Kam 27 5 13 9 -8 28
14 Sandefjord 27 6 5 16 -24 23
15 Kristiansund 27 4 6 17 -27 18
16 Jerv 27 5 3 19 -37 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Jerv
36′
🟨 John Olav Norheim
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 E. Sandberg
↦ D. Mboumbouni
L. Nordås 🔁
↦ J. Tuominen
59′
61′
🔁 A. Diallo
↦ J. Cijntje
61′
🔁 P. Wilson
↦ E. Hustad
1–0 S. Opsahl
K. Antonsen
75′
2–0 E. Kitolano
S. Opsahl
76′
80′
🔁 A. Tjærandsen-Skau
↦ E. Brenden
80′
🔁 M. Ugland
↦ M. Wichmann
F. Winther 🔁
↦ S. Opsahl
81′
R. Norheim 🔁
↦ E. Kitolano
81′
M. Ceide 🔁
↦ C. Øyvann
85′
86′
P. Wilson 2–1
97′
M. Ugland 2–2
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Tromso

3-4-3
1 J. Haugaard G
28 C. Psyché D
20 C. Øyvann D
14 W. Kamanzi M
11 R. Jenssen M
8 K. Antonsen D
25 L. Nilsen M
17 E. Kitolano F
22 S. Opsahl M
15 J. Tuominen F
10 A. Mikkelsen F
Bench (9)
9 L. Nordås
7 F. Winther
23 R. Norheim
6 M. Ceide
26 I. Vik
21 T. Hafstad
18 E. Aarflot
27 J. Hjertø-Dahl
12 S. Thomas

Coach: G. Helstrup

Jerv

5-3-2
1 A. Wichne G
19 I. Mafi D
16 J. Norheim D
4 D. Mboumbouni D
22 H. Bredeli D
27 M. Haarup D
6 M. Wichmann M
15 E. Brenden M
10 L. Fernandes M
9 E. Hustad F
30 J. Cijntje F
Bench (7)
5 E. Sandberg
17 A. Diallo
71 P. Wilson
21 A. Tjærandsen-Skau
8 M. Ugland
14 O. Kolskogen
20 Ø. Øvretveit

Coach: A. Sandstø

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Steen · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.