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Eliteserien
Referee: E Eskås
Tromso
S S T S U
0–1
Full-time
Molde
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
4,0
Scored
1,8
2,8
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,7
This season — Eliteserien · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 54%
30%
78%
Points per game
1,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
57%
70%
Both score Ø 68%
74%
61%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
1,7
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
10 Shots 10
0 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
8 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 11
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 9. · Molde 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 23 18 3 2 +33 57
2 Lillestrom 23 13 5 5 +16 44
3 Rosenborg 23 12 7 4 +18 43
4 Bodo/Glimt 23 12 6 5 +26 42
5 Valerenga 23 12 3 8 +10 39
6 Viking 23 9 6 8 +3 33
7 Odd 23 10 3 10 -8 33
8 Stromsgodset 23 9 5 9 +4 32
9 Tromso 23 7 10 6 -5 31
10 Haugesund 23 8 5 10 -1 29
11 Sarpsborg 08 23 9 1 13 -3 28
12 Aalesund 23 6 7 10 -13 25
13 Ham-Kam 23 4 11 8 -4 23
14 Sandefjord 23 6 4 13 -19 22
15 Kristiansund 23 4 4 15 -21 16
16 Jerv 23 4 2 17 -36 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Molde
23′
O. Brynhildsen 0–1
M. Grødem
Half-time 0–1
65′
🔁 K. Eriksen
↦ M. Grødem
75′
🔁 M. Eikrem
↦ D. Fofana
R. Norheim 🔁
↦ E. Kitolano
80′
F. Winther 🔁
↦ S. Opsahl
80′
J. Tuominen 🔁
↦ K. Antonsen
87′
87′
🔁 E. Hussain
↦ M. Kaasa
87′
🔁 M. Bolly
↦ M. Løvik
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Tromso

3-4-3
1 J. Haugaard G
28 C. Psyché D
5 A. Jenssen D
14 W. Kamanzi M
11 R. Jenssen M
8 K. Antonsen D
25 L. Nilsen M
17 E. Kitolano F
22 S. Opsahl M
10 A. Mikkelsen F
9 L. Nordås F
Bench (9)
23 R. Norheim
7 F. Winther
15 J. Tuominen
3 J. Robertsen
26 I. Vik
12 S. Thomas
21 T. Hafstad
6 M. Ceide
18 E. Aarflot

Coach: G. Helstrup

Molde

5-3-2
1 J. Karlstrøm G
21 M. Linnes D
2 M. Bjørnbak D
3 B. Risa D
31 M. Løvik D
22 M. Grødem M
15 M. Kaasa M
11 O. Brynhildsen F
25 E. Breivik D
8 S. Mannsverk M
9 D. Fofana F
Bench (7)
20 K. Eriksen
7 M. Eikrem
16 E. Hussain
30 M. Bolly
33 N. Ødegård
26 O. Petersen
24 J. Bakke

Coach: E. Moe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Eskås · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.