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Championship
Referee: Chris Kavanagh
1–0
Full-time
QPR
U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield Weds QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Championship · 12/13 matches
Win Ø 40%
42%
38%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
50%
38%
Both score Ø 61%
67%
54%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 8
7 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sheffield Weds 11. · QPR 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Newcastle 13 9 1 3 +16 28
2 Norwich 13 8 3 2 +8 27
3 Brighton 13 7 4 2 +8 25
4 Huddersfield 12 8 1 3 +4 25
5 Birmingham 14 6 5 3 +3 23
6 Bristol City 13 6 2 5 +5 20
7 Brentford 13 5 4 4 +7 19
8 QPR 13 5 4 4 -2 19
9 Reading 13 5 4 4 -4 19
10 Fulham 13 4 6 3 -1 18
11 Sheffield Weds 12 5 3 4 -1 18
12 Ipswich 13 4 5 4 +1 17
13 Burton Albion 14 4 5 5 +0 17
14 Preston 13 5 2 6 +0 17
15 Leeds 13 5 2 6 -2 17
16 Barnsley 13 5 1 7 +1 16
17 Wolves 13 4 4 5 +0 16
18 Nott'm Forest 13 4 3 6 -2 15
19 Aston Villa 13 2 8 3 -1 14
20 Derby 13 3 5 5 -3 14
21 Blackburn 13 3 3 7 -7 12
22 Cardiff 13 3 3 7 -10 12
23 Wigan 13 2 5 6 -2 11
24 Rotherham 13 1 3 9 -18 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield Weds QPR
13′
🟨 Ariel Borysiuk
17′
🟨 Ben Gladwin
1–0 G. Hooper
D. Jones
40′
Half-time 1–0
64′
🔁 S. Polter
↦ Idrissa Sylla
L. Palmer 🔁
↦ J. Hunt
70′
S. Fletcher 🔁
↦ G. Hooper
74′
74′
🔁 P. Wszołek
↦ B. Gladwin
Daniel Pudil 🟨
77′
80′
🔁 O. Shodipo
↦ A. Borysiuk
85′
🟨 Nedum Onuoha
R. Wallace 🔁
↦ K. Lee
87′
90′
🟨 Niko Hämäläinen
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sheffield Weds

4-4-2
25 C. Dawson G
36 D. Pudil D
32 J. Hunt D
23 S. Hutchinson M
15 T. Lees D
9 A. Reach M
3 D. Jones M
5 K. Lee M
41 B. Bannan M
45 F. Forestieri F
14 G. Hooper F
Bench (7)
16 L. Palmer
6 S. Fletcher
33 R. Wallace
12 G. Loovens
34 J. Kean
38 W. Buckley
44 A. Nuhiu

Coach: Carlos Carvalhal

QPR

4-2-3-1
1 A. Smithies
5 N. Onuoha D
24 J. Perch D
22 S. Caulker D
7 A. Borysiuk M
10 T. Chery M
40 Idrissa Sylla F
21 M. Luongo M
11 B. Gladwin M
38 N. Hamalainen D
9 C. Washington F
Bench (7)
17 S. Polter
15 P. Wszołek
27 O. Shodipo
13 M. Ingram
19 A. El Khayati
20 K. Henry
34 O. Kakay

Coach: J. Hasselbaink

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Chris Kavanagh · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.