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Primeira Liga

Referee: Joao Capela

Feirense

T S S T T

1–1

Full-time

Vitoria Setubal

S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feirense Vitoria Setubal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

0,7

0,8

Conceded

2,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 36%

43%

29%

Points per game

1,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

71%

29%

Both score Ø 36%

29%

43%

Average goals

2,7

2,1

Scored

0,9

1,0

Conceded

1,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

12 Shots 17

5 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

24 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Feirense 12. · Vitoria Setubal 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	7	6	1	0	+13	19
2	Porto	7	5	1	1	+11	16
3	Sp Lisbon	7	5	1	1	+7	16
4	Sp Braga	7	4	2	1	+5	14
5	Chaves	7	3	3	1	+2	12
6	Guimaraes	7	3	2	2	+1	11
7	Rio Ave	7	3	1	3	+0	10
8	Maritimo	8	3	1	4	-3	10
9	Pacos Ferreira	8	2	3	3	+0	9
10	Boavista	8	2	3	3	-2	9
11	Belenenses	7	2	3	2	-2	9
12	Feirense	7	3	0	4	-7	9
13	Vitoria Setubal	7	2	2	3	-1	8
14	Estoril	7	2	1	4	-4	7
15	Nacional	8	2	1	5	-5	7
16	Arouca	7	1	2	4	-4	5
17	Tondela	7	1	2	4	-5	5
18	Moreirense	7	1	1	5	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Porto	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Benfica	3	2	1	0	+6	7
4	Sp Braga	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Boavista	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Rio Ave	4	2	0	2	+0	6
7	Vitoria Setubal	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Guimaraes	4	1	2	1	+1	5
9	Belenenses	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Chaves	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Pacos Ferreira	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Arouca	4	1	1	2	+0	4
13	Maritimo	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Tondela	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Estoril	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Nacional	4	1	0	3	-5	3
17	Feirense	3	1	0	2	-5	3
18	Moreirense	3	0	1	2	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Porto	4	2	1	1	+5	7
3	Chaves	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Sp Braga	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Guimaraes	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	Feirense	4	2	0	2	-2	6
7	Maritimo	4	2	0	2	-2	6
8	Pacos Ferreira	4	1	1	2	+0	4
9	Nacional	4	1	1	2	+0	4
10	Rio Ave	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Sp Lisbon	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Estoril	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Belenenses	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Moreirense	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Vitoria Setubal	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Boavista	4	0	2	2	-5	2
17	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Arouca	3	0	1	2	-4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.