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La Liga
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano
Espanol
T S T U U
3–3
Full-time
Eibar
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,5
2,8
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 26%
13%
38%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
38%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

52% Possession 48%
11 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Espanol 17. · Eibar 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 8 5 3 0 +18 18
2 Real Madrid 8 5 3 0 +14 18
3 Sevilla 8 5 2 1 +4 17
4 Barcelona 8 5 1 2 +16 16
5 Villarreal 8 4 4 0 +10 16
6 Ath Bilbao 8 5 0 3 +3 15
7 Las Palmas 8 3 3 2 +3 12
8 Eibar 8 3 2 3 +1 11
9 Betis 9 3 2 4 -8 11
10 Alaves 8 2 4 2 +1 10
11 Sociedad 8 3 1 4 -1 10
12 Leganes 8 3 1 4 -4 10
13 Celta 8 3 1 4 -7 10
14 Malaga 8 2 3 3 -2 9
15 Valencia 8 3 0 5 -4 9
16 La Coruna 8 2 2 4 -5 8
17 Espanol 8 1 4 3 -5 7
18 Sp Gijon 8 2 1 5 -11 7
19 Osasuna 9 1 3 5 -8 6
20 Granada 8 0 2 6 -15 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Espanol Eibar
11′
🟨 Pedro León
17′
🟨 Florian Lejeune
23′
Sergi Enrich 0–1
Kike
27′
D. Reyes 1–1
own goal
37′
🟨 Takashi Inui
44′
Kike 1–2
Sergi Enrich
Half-time 1–2
H. Pérez 🔁
↦ Marc Roca
46′
Aarón Martín 🔁
↦ Javi López
46′
2–2 H. Pérez
P. Piatti
64′
66′
🔁 Rubén Peña
↦ Sergi Enrich
F. Caicedo 🔁
↦ P. Piatti
73′
3–2 P. Piatti
73′
Léo Baptistão 🟨
75′
77′
🟨 Fran Rico
78′
🔁 Adrián
↦ T. Inui
Felipe Caicedo 🟨
79′
80′
🟨 Antonio Luna
Felipe Caicedo 🟨
84′
Felipe Caicedo 🟥
84′
89′
🟨 Kike
89′
🔁 G. Escalante
↦ Kike
4–2 Léo Baptistão
David López
92′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Espanol

4-4-2
13 Diego López G
2 M. Demichelis D
23 D. Reyes D
14 José Jurado M
4 Víctor Sánchez M
16 Javi López D
15 David López D
28 Marc Roca M
19 P. Piatti M
7 Gerard Moreno F
11 Léo Baptistão F
Bench (7)
17 H. Pérez
29 Aarón Martín
10 F. Caicedo
1 Roberto Jiménez
9 José Antonio Reyes
18 Javi Fuego
20 P. Diop

Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores

Eibar

4-4-2
13 Asier Riesgo G
4 Ramis D
20 F. Lejeune D
19 Luna D
7 Ander Capa D
8 T. Inui M
21 Pedro León M
16 Fran Rico M
14 Dani García M
17 Kike F
9 Sergi Enrich F
Bench (7)
11 Rubén Peña
24 Adrián
5 G. Escalante
1 Yoel
3 Alejandro Gálvez
6 Christian Rivera
18 Arbilla

Coach: Mendilibar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jesus Gil Manzano · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.